< Previous5 /9 9 /10 9 TRL /9 U HD RENDERING ENGINES, which are in the Prototype Stage and Productisation Stage, are powerful compute enabled simulation engines capable of rendering ultra high definition dynamic video and stills of objects, places and people, at high speed that can be used in a variety of applications, from the creation of Synthetic Content to the creation of immersive, simulated environments and worlds. Recently significant advances in Artificial Intelligence, computing power, and GPU’s have meant that researchers have now crossed the point known as Uncanny Valley, which now means that these engines are now capable of producing content capable of fooling most humans. DEFINITION Ultra High Definition Rendering Engines create and render dynamic video and stills at a resolution that is indistinguishable from the real thing. EXAMPLE USE CASES Today we are using UHD rendering Engines to create content that is indistinguishable from the real thing that is being used to create an increasingly wide variety of content, from Fake News, capable of undermining democracy, to adverts, gaming environments, and even short movies. FUTURE TRAJECTORY AND REPLACABILITY Over the next decade research in the field will continue to accelerate, and interest and investment will continue to grow at an accelerating rate. However, as the capabilities of the technology continue to grow, and as we blow past Uncanny Valley, it is highly likely that the technology will need to become increasingly controlled and regulated. While UHD Rendering Engines are still in the Prototype Stage and Productisation Stage, over the long term they will be enhanced by advances in Artificial Intelligence, Creative Machines, and Simulation Engines, but it is unlikely that it will be replaced. MATTHEW’S RECOMMENDATION In the short to medium term I suggest companies put the technology on their radars, explore the field, establish a point of view, experiment with it, with a view to implementing it, and forecast out the potential implications of the technology. 15 SECOND SUMMARY Accessibility Affordability Competition Demonstration Desirability Investment Regulation Viability 8 8 5 9 9 5 3 9 2002 2007 2016 2018 2026 STATUS PRIMARY GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT AREAS IMPACT UHD RENDERING ENGINES STARBURST APPEARANCES: ‘17, ‘18, ‘19 EXPLORE MORE. Click or scan me to learn more about this emerging tech. 210311institute.com MRL1 /9 5 /10 3 TRL /9 W AVE COMPUTING, which is in the Concept Stage and early Prototype Stage, is the field of research concerned with developing new forms of computing platforms and electronic devices that work and perform their respective tasks using magnetism and not electricity. As a result these systems, which are underpinned by the principles of Spintronics, are the first such systes that work without the need to use electricity or electrons. recent breakthroughs in the field include the development of the first Wave Computing platform that was able to process information and perform calculations without using any electrons or electrical power. DEFINITION Wave Computing platforms are computing platforms that work and perform calculations by using magnetism rather than electricity or electrons. EXAMPLE USE CASES Today the early prototypes of the technology are being used to test the theory and refine the technology. In the future the primary use case of this technology could be to create new classes of completely passive computing and electronic platforms that could be used to either compliment or replace today’s traditional platforms. FUTURE TRAJECTORY AND REPLACABILITY Over the next decade interest in the field will continue to accelerate, and interest and investment will continue to grow, albeit from a very low base, primarily led by univesity grants. While the technology concept is incredibly interesting at this point in time it is difficult to ascertain whether or not it will achieve critical mass and continue to be developed, or reach a dead end and be superceeded, as a result it is one to watch but from a distance. While Wave Computing is in the Concept Stage and early Prototype Stage, over the long term it will be enhanced by advances in Backscatter Energy Systems, Quantum Computing, and Spintronics, and potentially replaced by more traditional Biological, Chemical, DNA, Liquid, Molecular, and Neuromorphic Computing platforms. MATTHEW’S RECOMMENDATION In the short to medium term I suggest companies put the technology on their radars, explore the field, and establish a point of view, and re-visit it every few years until progress in the space accelerates. 15 SECOND SUMMARY Accessibility Affordability Competition Demonstration Desirability Investment Regulation Viability 1 2 7 4 4 1 1 5 2001 2007 2019 2050 2065 STATUS PRIMARY GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT AREAS IMPACT WAVE COMPUTING STARBURST APPEARANCES: ‘20 EXPLORE MORE. Click or scan me to learn more about this emerging tech. 211311institute.com MRLCONNECTIVITYI T IS all very well spending time and energy embedding intelligence into everything, whether we are talking about biological systems, devices or even humans, but in order to get the most out of these things they have to be connected, and when it comes to the future of connectivity we are only just getting started. As we continue to see more people and devices become connected, and be embedded with connectivity, we can increasingly see a future where everyone, and everything is connected to one another, and where today’s traditional electromagnetic communications systems are augmented with new atomic, light based, and even zeno wave nil communications systems. In this section you will find details of the emerging technologies that made it into this years Griffin Emerging Technology Starburst along with details of other impactful emerging technologies: 1.5G 2.6G 3.Acoustic Signalling 4.Atomic Communications 5.Bacterial Nano-Networks 6.Bio-Molecular Communications 7.Body Area Networks 8.Cognitive Radio 9.Delay Tolerant Networks 10.Low Earth Orbit Platforms 11.Low Power Wide Area Networks 12.Molecular Communications 13.Nil Communication 14.Organic Networks 15.Petabit Networks 16.Pseudo Satellites 17.Quantum Internet 18.Ultra Low Frequency Communications 19.USB 4 20.Visible Light Communications 21.WiFi 7 22.WiGig 23.X-Ray Communications In addition to these emerging technologies there are many others that have yet to get an entry in this codex. These include, but are not limited to: 24.2D Antennae 25.7G 26.Biological Networks 27.Body Area Networks 28.Drone Access Points 29.High Altitude Platforms 30.HiperLAN 213311institute.com 31.Hollow Core Fiber 32.LiFi 33.Mesh Networks 34.MulteFire 35.Nano-Satellites 36.No Power WiFi 37.Rectifying Antennae 38.Self Healing Networks 39.Small Cell Networks 40.Terabit Networks 41.WiFi 6 42.Wireless Personal Area Networks BOOK AN EXPERT CALL9 /9 7 /10 9 TRL /9 5 G, a GENERAL PURPOSE TECHNOLOGY, which is in the Mass Adoption Stage, is the next generation of mobile wireless communications technology and delivers data download and upload speeds upto 10 to 20 times faster in places than today’s 4G networks, wider coverage and more stable, lower latency connections. As a consequence 5G will have a revolutionary impact on how and where businesses and consumers leverage wireless network technology. However, as the race to be the first to roll out 5G services intensifies some operators are rolling out 600MHz 5G services, which operate at lower speeds but can penetrate into buildings further, while others are rolling out more traditional 5G services that operate in the 700 MHz, 800 MHz, 900 MHz, 1.5 GHz, 2.1 GHz, 2.3 GHz and 2.6 GHz range that have higher speeds but need more base stations within buildings in order to provide good enough coverage. DEFINITION 5G, the successor to 4G is a low latency, hyper connected multi Gigabit mobile wireless communications standard. EXAMPLE USE CASES Today we are using 5G networks to perform over the air robotic surgeries on animals and humans, and stream 4K and 8K video, Augmented Reality, gaming and Virtual Reality experiences direct to people’s devices. In the future the primary use cases for the technology will include disintermediating fixed line telco’s by using a combination of 5G, WiGig and new network backhaul platforms to deliver ultra-fast, wireless broadband services directly to businesses and homes, and accelerating the roll out of autonomous vehicles and smart transportation networks, smart healthcare platforms, the Internet of Things, and supporting the control of critical infrastructure and remote devices, among millions of other use cases. FUTURE TRAJECTORY AND REPLACABILITY Over the next decade research in the space will continue to accelerate dramatically, and interest and investment will grow at an accelerating rate. As the first commercial networks start being rolled out, in China and the West, the number of devices supporting 5G will continue to expand and the major task of rolling out the new technology, which requires new towers and base stations, will begin in earnest. While 5G is still in the Mass Adoption Stage over the long term it will be replaced by 6G. MATTHEW’S RECOMMENDATION In the short to medium term I suggest companies put the technology on their radars, explore the field, establish a point of view, experiment with it, with a view to implementing it, and forecast out the potential implications of the technology. 15 SECOND SUMMARY Accessibility Affordability Competition Demonstration Desirability Investment Regulation Viability 8 9 5 9 9 8 6 9 1998 2009 2012 2016 2023 STATUS PRIMARY GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT AREAS IMPACT STARBURST APPEARANCES: ‘17, ‘19, ‘20, ‘21, ‘22, ‘23, ‘24 5G EXPLORE MORE. Click or scan me to learn more about this emerging tech. 214311institute.com MRL4 /9 7 /10 5 TRL /9 6 G, a GENERAL PURPOSE TECHNOLOGY, which is still in the Concept Stage, is the field of research concerned with trying to, one day, build the next generation of wireless mobile communications networks that operate at Terabit speeds, which will be hundreds of times faster than 4G technology, and tens of times faster, if not more, than 5G. While, by today’s standards, 5G looks revolutionary, as data volumes and the number of connected devices and things in the world continue to increase at an exponential rate, researchers believe 6G will be the answer, and as a result they are investigating using the 100GHz to Terahertz (THz) bands, combined with Artificial Intelligence and Quantum Theory, to push wireless speed to a range where they say the eventual speeds will be unlimited. DEFINITION 6G, the successor to 5G, is a multi Terabit software defined mobile communications standard that uses Artificial Intelligence to create adaptable, intelligent, self-aware networks. EXAMPLE USE CASES Today there are no 6G prototypes, but researchers believe 6G’s primary use cases will include applications that require a “Superfast Edge” and zero network latency, “Super IOT applications” where massive IOT networks need to communicate and collaborate together, “Smart Analytics” that enable smart operations and allow networks to analyse and process data in a situational context, including for health and Quantified self applications, Smart Buildings and Cities, Smart Materials applications, and much more. FUTURE TRAJECTORY AND REPLACABILITY Over the next decade research in 6G technology will continue to accelerate, and interest and investment in the field will continue to grow, primarily led by government funding, university grants, and industry consortiums. While 6G is still in the Concept Stage, over the long term it will be enhanced by advances in Artificial Intelligence, Cognitice Radio, Low Earth Orbit Platforms, Psuedo Satellites, Quantum Internet, and Quantum Sensors. However, with the emergence of a wide variety of complimentary powerful communications technologies it is also possible that it will not be replaced, and that 7G will never arrive, or at least in the way that we expect it. MATTHEW’S RECOMMENDATION In the short to medium term I suggest companies put the technology on their radars, and re-visit it every few years until progress in the space accelerates. 15 SECOND SUMMARY Accessibility Affordability Competition Demonstration Desirability Investment Regulation Viability 1 1 2 1 8 2 2 1 2006 2017 2027 2030 2034 STATUS PRIMARY GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT AREAS IMPACT 6G STARBURST APPEARANCES: ‘18, ‘19, ‘20, ‘21, ‘22, ‘23, ‘24 EXPLORE MORE. Click or scan me to learn more about this emerging tech. 215311institute.com MRL7 /9 2 /10 9 TRL /9 A COUSTIC SIGNALLING, which is in the Prototype Stage, is the field of research concerned with developing communication technologies that predominantly work in aqueous or water based environments where communication so far has been difficult and slow to achieve. Recently there was a noteable breakthrough in the field that allowed divers to communicate with one another underwater using nothing more than standard smartphones and SMS which, even though to many people that might sound basic, was a game changer. DEFINITION Acoustic Signalling is a coded sound signal which is released and transmitted by a device to enable communication. EXAMPLE USE CASES Today there are many examples of uses cases where being able to communicate underwater would be advantageous, including in the military field whether it’s submarines or new classes of Autonomous Underwater Vehicles (AUV), environmental and situational awareness monitoring systems, or recreational divers. FUTURE TRAJECTORY AND REPLACABILITY Over the next decade we will continue to see interest in this field accelerate, albeit from a very low base, primarily led by government and military grants. While Acoustic Signalling is still in the Prototype Stage over the long term it could be enhanced by advances in AI, Materials, Ultra Low Frequency Comms, and other technologies, however one day it could be superceeded by the Quantum Internet. MATTHEW’S RECOMMENDATION In the short to medium term I suggest companies put the technology on their radars, establish a point of view, and re- visit it every few years until progress in the space accelerates. 15 SECOND SUMMARY Accessibility Affordability Competition Demonstration Desirability Investment Regulation Viability 3 4 4 7 6 2 1 7 1965 1987 2022 2028 2032 STATUS PRIMARY GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT AREAS IMPACT ACOUSTIC SIGNALLING STARBURST APPEARANCES: NONE EXPLORE MORE. Click or scan me to learn more about this emerging tech. 216311institute.com MRL7 /9 4 /10 8 TRL /9 A TOMIC COMMUNICATIONS, which is in the Prototype Stage, is the field of research concerned with using highly sensitive atom-based sensors, such as Rydberg sensors, to develop wireless “noise-less” communications systems that are capable of working in even the noisiest of environments. As such they not only have many advantages over their traditional peers, such as 5G and other RF communications systems, especially in disaster zones and war zones, but when used in tandem with these systems they can be used to augment them and boost their power and range, depending on the situations, hundreds fold. Recent breakthroughs include the development of “Quantum Radios” which are being used to boost the energy efficiency and range of 5G networks. DEFINITION Atomic Communications systems use atom-based sensor systems to determine the direction of incoming radio signals and eliminate noise. EXAMPLE USE CASES The incredible electromagnetic sensitivity of this technology means that today its primary use cases involve its use in helping improve the range and energy efficiency of existing communications networks, such as 5G. Not only will this have implications for IOT use cases as diverse as Precision Agriculture and Smart Cities but, because these systems can also act as passive optical receivers in hard-to-reach locations, they could play a vital role in helping mobile network operators achieve 100% coverage. They will also likely play a vital role in the future of electronic warfare. FUTURE TRAJECTORY AND REPLACABILITY Over the next decade we will continue to see interest in Atomic Communications accelerate, predominantly led by the Communications and Defence industries. The hyper sensitivity of these systems means they are very attractive to both commercial and military network operators who will use them to boost the energy efficiency, integrity, and range of their communications platforms. While Atomic Communications are still in the Prototype Stage they could be enhanced by advances in AI, Quantum Materials, Quantum technologies, Sensors, and other technologies, however over the long term it’s unclear what they could be superseded by. MATTHEW’S RECOMMENDATION In the short to medium term I suggest companies put the technology on their radars, explore the field, establish a point of view, experiment with it, and forecast out the potential implications of the technology. 15 SECOND SUMMARY Accessibility Affordability Competition Demonstration Desirability Investment Regulation Viability 3 5 2 7 8 5 2 8 1901 1920 2001 2023 2042 STATUS PRIMARY GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT AREAS IMPACT ATOMIC COMMUNICATIONS STARBURST APPEARANCES: NONE 217311institute.com MRL EXPLORE MORE. Click or scan me to learn more about this emerging tech.2 /9 8 /10 4 TRL /9 B ACTERIAL NANO-NETWORKS, which are in the Concept Stage and early Prototype Stage, is the field of research concerned with developing new ways to transmit information and signals within fluidic environments at the cellular, genetic, and nano scale. Recent breakthroughs in the field include the development of the first Bacterial Nano- Networks that were used to shuttle DNA based information between different targets so that the information could be stored and retrieved from new DNA Computing and Storage platforms. DEFINITION Bacterial Nano-Networks are nanoscale biological communications networks that use DNA and chemicals to transmit information between different entities and network nodes. EXAMPLE USE CASES Today we are using Bacterial Nano-Networks to move DNA based information packets between different DNA Computing and Storage platforms in an effort to improve their efficiency and speed. In the future the primary use of this technology will be to support and improve the efficiency of future Biological and DNA computing platforms, among others, and to improve the efficiency and speed of information and signal transfer between different liquid based hybrid, organic, and semi-organic entities, products, and systems. FUTURE TRAJECTORY AND REPLACABILITY Over the next decade interest in the field will continue to accelerate, and interest and investment will continue to grow, albeit from a very low base, primarily led by organisations in the Healthcare and Technology sectors, with support from univesity grants. In time we will see the technology mature to the point where it becomes the defacto technology that underpins future computing and electronics platforms. While Bacterial Nano-Networks are in the Concept Stage and early Prototype Stage, over the long term they will be enhanced by advances in Biological Computing, CAST, Chemical Computing, CRISPR, DNA Computing, Liquid Computing, Semi-Synthetic Cells, Synthetic Cells, Synthetic Biology, and Synthetic DNA, but at this point in time it is not clear what they will be replaced by. MATTHEW’S RECOMMENDATION In the short to medium term I suggest companies put the technology on their radars, explore the field, and establish a point of view, and re-visit it every few years until progress in the space accelerates. 15 SECOND SUMMARY Accessibility Affordability Competition Demonstration Desirability Investment Regulation Viability 2 2 2 5 8 1 1 7 1997 1984 2019 2031 2047 STATUS PRIMARY GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT AREAS IMPACT BACTERIAL NANO-NETWORKS STARBURST APPEARANCES: ‘20, ‘21 EXPLORE MORE. Click or scan me to learn more about this emerging tech. 218311institute.com MRL2 /9 8 /10 4 TRL /9 B IO-MOLECULAR COMMUNICATIONS, which are in the Prototype Stage, is the field of research concerned with trying to find new ways to enable bio-molecular and molecular level communications within various mediums and substrates in a way that is efficient, functional, and useful. Recently there have been a number of breakthroughs in this space including the development of new sensors and Molecular Electronics products that have allowed researchers to develop next generation systems and blueprints which will be used to underpin future research efforts. DEFINITION Bio-Molecular Communications is the measurable information exchange process between networked artificial or biological entities. EXAMPLE USE CASES The use cases for this technology are still emerging but so far the majority of examples include using this technology to increase computer storage density by a hundred fold, create new forms of molecular electronic systems, and enable Exascale Computing. However, other use cases will likely include healthcare applications as well as a broader range of computing applications especially as we head into an ear of computing that is dominated by non-traditional forms of compute including Biological, Chemical, DNA, Liquid, Molecular, and others. FUTURE TRAJECTORY AND REPLACABILITY Over the next decade interest in the field will continue to accelerate, albeit from a very low base, and interest and investment will continue to grow at an accelerating rate, primarily led by organisations in the healthcare and technology sectors, with support from government funding and university grants. In time we will see Bio-Molecular Communications become much more commonplace but given the nature of the field it’s likely that it will be many decades before it commercialises. While Bio-Molecular Communications are in the Prototype Stage, over the long term they will be enhanced by advances in Artificial Intelligence, Bio-Manufacturing, Computing, Electronics, Molecular Communications, and Nano- Manufacturing, but at this point in time it is not clear what they will be replaced by. MATTHEW’S RECOMMENDATION In the short to medium term I suggest companies put the technology on their radars, explore the field, establish a point of view, and re-visit it every few years until progress in this space accelerates. 15 SECOND SUMMARY Accessibility Affordability Competition Demonstration Desirability Investment Regulation Viability 2 2 2 4 7 2 1 8 1962 1981 2014 2034 2060 STATUS PRIMARY GLOBAL DEVELOPMENT AREAS IMPACT BIO-MOLECULAR COMMUNICATIONS STARBURST APPEARANCES: ‘22, ‘23 219311institute.com EXPLORE MORE. Click or scan me to learn more about this emerging tech. MRLNext >