Deepfakes could soon spread to affect satellite and GIS imagery researchers find
Earth imagery and mapping are important for all sorts of reasons, and there are real world implications if they're manipulated.
Key takeaways
- Researchers such as Associate Professor of Geography Chengbin Deng are doing what they can to get ahead of the problem.
- News of the research has been picked up by countries around the world, including China, Japan, Germany and France.
- Statistical differences were registered on 20 of the 26 indicators, or 80% percent.
Cite or link to this article
Griffin, M. (2021) 'Deepfakes could soon spread to affect satellite and GIS imagery researchers find', 311 Institute, 9 June. Available at: https://www.311institute.com/deepfakes-could-soon-spread-to-affect-satellite-and-gis-imagery-researchers-find/ (Accessed: 1 October 2026).
Have you seen the latest deepfake of Elon Musk or Tom Cruise? Yes? Well, how about the latest deepfake of London? And if that’s got you saying “Uh, what?” then you’re not alone. In the future you might just well end up having to ask yourself: can you trust the map on your smartphone, or the satellite image on your computer screen?
As the technology advances it may only be a matter of time until the growing problem of deepfakes converges with Geographical Information Science (GIS). Researchers such as Associate Professor of Geography Chengbin Deng are doing what they can to get ahead of the problem.
Deng and four colleagues, Bo Zhao and Yifan Sun at the University of Washington, and Shaozeng Zhang and Chunxue Xu at Oregon State University, co-authored a recent article in Cartography and Geographic Information Science that explores the problem. In "Deep fake geography? When geospatial data encounter Artificial Intelligence," they explore how false satellite images could potentially be constructed and detected. News of the research has been picked up by countries around the world, including China, Japan, Germany and France.
"Honestly, we probably are the first to recognize this potential issue," Deng said.
GIS underlays a whole host of applications, from national defense to autonomous vehicles, a technology that's currently under development. Artificial Intelligence (AI) has made a positive impact on the discipline through the development of Geospatial Artificial Intelligence (GeoAI), which uses machine learning to extract and analyze geospatial data. But these same methods could potentially be used to fabricate GPS signals, fake locational information on social media posts, fabricate photographs of geographic environments and more.
In short, the same technology that can change the face of an individual in a photo or video can also be used to make fake images of all types, including maps and satellite images.
"We need to keep all of this in accordance with ethics. But at the same time, we researchers also need to pay attention and find a way to differentiate or identify those fake images," Deng said. "With a lot of data sets, these images can look real to the human eye."
To figure out how to detect an artificially constructed image, first you need to construct one. To do so, they used a technique common in the creation of deep fakes: Cycle-Consistent Adversarial Networks (CycleGAN), an unsupervised deep learning algorithm that can simulate synthetic media.
Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) are a type of AI, but they require training samples, input, of whatever content they are programmed to produce. A black box on a map could, for example, represent any number of different factories or businesses; the various points of information inputted into the network helps determine the possibilities it can generate.
The researchers altered a satellite image of Tacoma, Washington, interspersing elements of Seattle and Beijing and making it look as real as possible. Researchers are not encouraging anyone to try such a thing themselves, quite the opposite, in fact.
"It's not about the technique; it's about how human being are using the technology," Deng said. "We want to use technology for the good, not for bad purposes."
After creating the altered composite, they compared 26 different image metrics to determine whether there were statistical differences between the true and false images. Statistical differences were registered on 20 of the 26 indicators, or 80% percent.
Some of the differences, for example, included the colour of roofs; while roof colours in each of the real images were uniform, they were mottled in the composite, something which could actually, for example, affect governments ability to quantify the amount of solar power cities could produce. And there are millions more examples in store... The fake satellite image was also dimmer and less colorful, but had sharper edges. Those differences, however, depended on the inputs they used to create the fake, Deng cautioned.
This research is just the beginning. In the future, geographers may track different types of neural networks to see how they generate false images and figure out ways to detect them. Ultimately, researchers will need to discover systematic ways to root out deep fakes and verify trustworthy information before they end up in the public view.
"We all want the truth," Deng said. But in the future the truth comes with caveats …
What this means for your organisation
Maps are now a target.
The technology that swaps a face in a photo can also make fake maps and satellite images. Geographical information underlies uses from national defence to autonomous vehicles, so a fake here has real consequences. Leaders should stop treating imagery as proof by default.
Detection works but is fragile.
Researchers built a fake of Tacoma using elements of Seattle and Beijing. They compared 26 image metrics and found statistical differences on 20, or 80%. Those differences depended on the inputs used to make the fake, so a better fake could pass the same checks.
Verify before data goes public.
The researchers say systematic ways to root out deep fakes are needed before false data reaches public view. Roof colour shows the risk. A mottled fake could skew estimates of how much solar power a city can produce. Build checks into any process that relies on imagery.
Three questions for your next leadership meeting
- Which decisions in our business rely on satellite imagery or map data?
- How would we know if a map or image we use were fake?
- Who owns verification of geospatial data before it informs a decision?
The trends and technologies behind this story
From the 311 Starburst, the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit’s map of the technologies and trends shaping the next 50 years.
Analysis by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit, from Matthew Griffin’s article and 311 data. First published on Fanatical Futurist.
FAQ
Why does this matter?
Earth imagery and mapping are important for all sorts of reasons, and there are real world implications if they're manipulated.

About the author
Matthew Griffin Founder, 311 Institute
Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath."
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Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath." 17-time best selling author of the "Codex of the Future" series, Matthew is the Founder and Futurist in Chief of the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures advisory firm working with royal households, world leaders, G7, G20, and G77 governments, NGOs, and multi-national mid and mega cap firms to help them explore, shape, and lead the next 50 years of business and society.
An award-winning YouTube creator with over a million followers, with an unrivalled global reach and impact, Matthew is a highly sought-after international keynote speaker, lecturer, and mentor who collaborates with global leaders through the United Nations Alliance of Civilizations (UNAOC) and United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) to shape pivotal initiatives such as the UN’s AI for Humanity program, the United Nations Conference of the Parties (UN COP), and the World Economic Forum in Davos.
As the former Global Head of Cloud, National Security, and Enterprise Sales for companies including Atos, Dell-EMC, and IBM, Matthew has a proven track record of building multi-billion dollar business units and turning failing divisions into market leaders. His ability to identify, analyse, and communicate the implications of hundreds of emerging technologies and trends is unparalleled, and his insights are trusted by many of the world’s most respected organisations, including ABB, Accenture, Adidas, AON, ARM, BCG, Centrica, Citi, Coca-Cola, Dentons, Deloitte, Dow Jones, EY, Google, KPMG, Lego, Legal & General, LinkedIn, Microsoft, PepsiCo, Qualcomm, RWE, Samsung, Siemens AG and Siemens Energy, T-Mobile, UBS, VISA, Walmart, Workday, Worldpay and many others.
Regularly featured in the global media including the AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, Forbes, Khaleej Times, Telegraph, TIME, ViacomCBS, WIRED, and the WSJ, Matthews mission is to help organisations create a fair and sustainable future whose benefits are shared by everyone irrespective of their ability, background, or circumstances.
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Source: first published by the 311 Institute on 9 June 2021. Cite as: Griffin, M. (2021). Deepfakes could soon spread to affect satellite and GIS imagery researchers find. 311 Institute. https://www.311institute.com/deepfakes-could-soon-spread-to-affect-satellite-and-gis-imagery-researchers-find/
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