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Researchers prove your smart watch can flag when you’re getting ill

Every doctor will tell you that the earlier you can detect and diagnose disease the better your chances of recovery, and the swifter it will be, now smart devices might know you're ill before you do.

Key takeaways

  • Because the devices continuously monitor these measures, they can detect the onset of diseases that are responsible for changes in your physiology almost instantly.
  • Snyder took the antibiotic doxycycline and the symptoms disappeared, and subsequent tests confirmed the presence of Lyme disease.
  • Individuals with indications of insulin resistance and who are therefore are at high risk of getting Type 2 diabetes are often unaware that they have this risk factor.
Cite or link to this article

Griffin, M. (2017) 'Researchers prove your smart watch can flag when you’re getting ill', 311 Institute, 29 January. Available at: https://www.311institute.com/researchers-prove-your-smart-watch-knows-when-youre-getting-ill/ (Accessed: 1 October 2026).

Wearables have been struggling to find a "killer app" ever since they first launched and while fitness tracking, which is very different to "health" and "wellness" tracking, is one thing it's fair to say that most consumers don't see it as the killer app that will shoot wearables to stardom.

After all, we've had third party step counters and calorie counters, in various forms, for decades and while they're popular they only appeal to specific demographics of the market. But now the ability to spot the onset of disease, and even identify it before it manifests itself, letting people take preventative action before they get Laid low by it, could finally be the perk that encourages more people to buy into the technology.

So, can your smart watch really tell when you are becoming ill? A new study from Stanford University says not only is it possible but they've managed to create a piece of software that flags it up on your watch.

By following 60 people through their everyday lives, Stanford's team of researchers found that smart watches and other personal biosensor devices can help flag when people have colds and even signal the onset of complex conditions like Lyme disease and diabetes.

"We want to tell when people are healthy and also catch illnesses at their earliest stages," said Michael Snyder, PhD, Professor and Chair of Genetics at Stanford who authored the study.

Smart watches and similar portable devices, like Fitbits, are commonly used for measuring steps and physiological parameters, but have not generally been used to detect illness before and Snyder's team took advantage of the portability and ease of using wearable devices to collect a myriad of measurements from participants over a two year period to detect deviations from their normal baseline for measurements such as heart rate and skin temperature.

Because the devices continuously monitor these measures, they can detect the onset of diseases that are responsible for changes in your physiology almost instantly. After all, in many cases, for example, you don’t just “suddenly” get ill, your core body temperature changes, albeit marginally, you might perspire more, and so on and many of the deviations the watches observed coincided with times when people became ill.

The team wrote a software program to collect and sense the deviations in the data coming from the smart watches called “Change of Heart.” The devices were also able to detect common colds, and astonishingly, in one case helped detect Lyme disease in one individual, Snyder.

"I had elevated heart rate and decreased oxygen at the start of my vacation and knew something was not quite right," said Snyder. After running a low grade fever for several days he visited a physician who confirmed the illness. Snyder took the antibiotic doxycycline and the symptoms disappeared, and subsequent tests confirmed the presence of Lyme disease. It was the first time that a device had detected the earliest signs of the disease.

The research paves the way for wearables and other smart devices to serve as a personal health dashboard, monitoring health and sensing the early signs of illness, likely even before the person wearing it does. And if they can do that, and the early research looks very promising, then there’s also no reason why when they detect the first symptoms they could prompt the doctor to call you, rather than the other way round as it is today. That gives new meaning to doctor on call, and imagine the benefits of that.

In addition to detecting illness, the study had several other interesting findings. Individuals with indications of insulin resistance and who are therefore are at high risk of getting Type 2 diabetes are often unaware that they have this risk factor. Personal biosensors and wearables could potentially be used to detect variations in an individual's heart rate, which tend to differ from those not at risk.

Another interesting finding of the study is an effect that impacts many of us. The authors found that blood oxygenation decreases during airplane flights, and although this is a known effect, the team were able to describe its effects in greater detail than previous studies. Snyder's team found that reduced blood oxygenation typically occurs for a large fraction of a flight and further demonstrated its association with fatigue.

"Many of us have had the experience of feeling tired on flights," Snyder said, "sometimes people may attribute this to staying up late, a hectic work schedule, or the stress of travel. However, it is likely that cabin pressure and reduced oxygen also are contributors."

"The information we were able to collect could one day be used to help your physician, although we can expect some initial challenges in how to integrate the data into clinical practice," said Snyder, “for example, patients may want to protect the privacy of their physiologic data or may want to share only some of it. However, in the long term I’m very optimistic that personal biosensors, devices and wearables will help us maintain healthier lives."

311 Intelligence

What this means for your organisation

Wearables are becoming health tools.

The Stanford team tracked heart rate and skin temperature against each person's own baseline, and found deviations that matched illness. Medical Grade Wearables is a trend where smartwatches and rings win regulator clearance, with wide use expected by 2030. The action rating is Prepare.

Privacy will decide who trusts the data.

Michael Snyder warned that patients may want to protect their physiologic data or share only some of it. Personal Data Stores point the same way, with people keeping their own records and sharing them on their own terms. That trend is rated Watch, with wide use expected by 2038.

Clinical use needs clean, usable data.

Snyder expects early challenges in fitting this data into clinical practice. Smart Data, which is cleaned and organised where it is collected, is rated Prepare for wide use by 2028. Firms in health, insurance and devices should decide now who owns, filters and acts on each signal.

Three questions for your next leadership meeting

  1. Who owns the health signals our devices collect, and who may see them?
  2. How would a doctor's practice act on an early warning from a wearable?
  3. Which of our products could carry health sensing, and what proof would we need?

The trends and technologies behind this story

From the 311 Starburst, the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit’s map of the technologies and trends shaping the next 50 years.

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Analysis by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit, from Matthew Griffin’s article and 311 data. First published on Fanatical Futurist.

FAQ

Why does this matter?

Every doctor will tell you that the earlier you can detect and diagnose disease the better your chances of recovery, and the swifter it will be, now smart devices might know you're ill before you do.

Matthew Griffin

About the author

Matthew Griffin Founder, President and Futurist, 311 Institute

Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath."

Read full bio

Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath." 17-time best selling author of the "Codex of the Future" series, Matthew is the Founder, President and Futurist of the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures advisory firm working with royal households, world leaders, G7, G20, and G77 governments, NGOs, and multi-national mid and mega cap firms to help them explore, shape, and lead the next 50 years of business and society.

An award-winning YouTube creator with over a million followers, with an unrivalled global reach and impact, Matthew is a highly sought-after international keynote speaker, lecturer, and mentor who collaborates with global leaders through the United Nations Alliance of Civilizations (UNAOC) and United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) to shape pivotal initiatives such as the UN’s AI for Humanity program, the United Nations Conference of the Parties (UN COP), and the World Economic Forum in Davos.

As the former Global Head of Cloud, National Security, and Enterprise Sales for companies including Atos, Dell-EMC, and IBM, Matthew has a proven track record of building multi-billion dollar business units and turning failing divisions into market leaders. His ability to identify, analyse, and communicate the implications of hundreds of emerging technologies and trends is unparalleled, and his insights are trusted by many of the world’s most respected organisations, including ABB, Accenture, Adidas, AON, ARM, BCG, Centrica, Citi, Coca-Cola, Dentons, Deloitte, Dow Jones, EY, Google, KPMG, Lego, Legal & General, LinkedIn, Microsoft, PepsiCo, Qualcomm, RWE, Samsung, Siemens AG and Siemens Energy, T-Mobile, UBS, VISA, Walmart, Workday, Worldpay and many others.

Regularly featured in the global media including the AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, Forbes, Khaleej Times, Telegraph, TIME, ViacomCBS, WIRED, and the WSJ, Matthews mission is to help organisations create a fair and sustainable future whose benefits are shared by everyone irrespective of their ability, background, or circumstances.

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Sources and further reading

  1. Stanford University stanford.edu

Source: first published by the 311 Institute on 29 January 2017. Cite as: Griffin, M. (2017). Researchers prove your smart watch can flag when you’re getting ill. 311 Institute. https://www.311institute.com/researchers-prove-your-smart-watch-knows-when-youre-getting-ill/

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