Britain bans sale of combustion engines from 2040
As electric vehicles become more reliable and affordable countries around the world are sounding the death knell for the combustion engine and banning them from their roads
Key takeaways
- The announcement follows hot on the heels of Germany and India who have all announced that they’re banning new sales from 2030, and France who announced they're also banning them from 2040.
- The overall package has been earmarked as costing £3bn, but 90 per cent of this has already been announced, and Mr Gove’s announcement came after BMW said on Tuesday that its new electric Mini would be assembled in Britain.
- Analysts expect sales of electric vehicles to take off when they cost the same as diesel and petrol cars, and UBS says it expects one in three cars in Europe to be electric by 2025.
Cite or link to this article
Griffin, M. (2017) 'Britain bans sale of combustion engines from 2040', 311 Institute, 5 August. Available at: https://www.311institute.com/britain-bans-sale-of-combustion-engines-from-2040/ (Accessed: 1 October 2026).
Everything seems to be going electric these days, from aircraft and ships to cars, and last week UK environment secretary Michael Gove announced plans to ban the sale of new petrol and diesel cars in Britain by 2040 in the hope that by 2050 there will be none left on the roads. He also announced plans that by 2043 every car should be electric, and given the fact that only 1 percent of vehicles in the UK are electric today, and the fact that even Uber had problems trying to find places to plug in its new electric fleet of vehicles when it started rolling them out in London last year that means that there’s a lot of work to do.
The announcement follows hot on the heels of Germany and India who have all announced that they’re banning new sales from 2030, and France who announced they're also banning them from 2040.
The new announcement is part of a package of measures designed to help bring pollution back down to legal limits in towns and cities across Britain that could include retrofitting buses and changing road layouts to improve air quality on 81 of the most polluted roads.
The air quality plan also includes incentives for green taxis and for better cycling and walking facilities, and there will also be a consultation on a scrappage scheme for old diesel vehicles.
The overall package has been earmarked as costing £3bn, but 90 per cent of this has already been announced, and Mr Gove’s announcement came after BMW said on Tuesday that its new electric Mini would be assembled in Britain.
“Poor air quality is the biggest environmental risk to public health in the UK and this government is determined to take strong action in the shortest time possible,” he said.
The UK government was recently forced to publish new air pollution plans before the end of this month in response to two legal actions by campaign group ClientEarth when the UK High Court ruled that previous plans failed to comply with an EU directive to cut emissions in the “shortest possible time.”
Meanwhile Anna Heslop, a lawyer for ClientEarth, said that the latest announcement was “eye-catching” but “in terms of whether it’s going to fix the immediate air-quality problem, we’re not convinced,” adding “while this plan makes the right headline-grabbing noises, in reality it means that children across the UK will continue to be exposed to harmful air pollution for years to come.”
While London is planning a £10 a day charge for 10,000 of the oldest, most polluting cars Mr Gove is not expected to suggest that other parts of the country follow the capital’s lead, and Mike Hawes, CEO of the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders, said that an outright ban in the UK could undermine the industry, which supported more than 800,000 jobs across the country, unless that is there were new incentives for consumers to buy electric cars.
“Demand for alternatively fuelled vehicles is growing but still at a very low level as consumers have concern over affordability, range and charging points,” he said, and the CEO of Aston Martin also criticised the ban and called on the government to support the transition to electric cars.
“If the government is going to legislate then they have to assist as well, otherwise they will destroy part of the industry. If we’re going to compete, we need to be the centre of manufacturing for batteries. But if you walk round any battery factory in China, we’re ten years behind them,” he said, although that said the UK is at the center of new polymer technology that could one day replace the ubiquitous Lithium Ion batteries used in many of today's electric vehicles...
He also added that the UK target for all electric sales by 2040 was “absurd” because of the long distances that some people need to travel.
“The entire British car industry is deeply deeply rooted in gasoline and diesel,” he added.
Analysts expect sales of electric vehicles to take off when they cost the same as diesel and petrol cars, and UBS says it expects one in three cars in Europe to be electric by 2025.
What this means for your organisation
Deadlines drive investment.
A fixed end date gives carmakers and suppliers certainty to plan. Other countries are setting similar or earlier dates. Automotive leaders should align product plans with the strictest timelines.
Charging is the bottleneck.
Even large operators struggled to find places to charge electric fleets. Infrastructure must grow far faster. Energy firms and councils should plan charging capacity now.
Air quality is the political driver.
The ban sits within a plan to cut pollution on the worst roads. Health pressures can move policy faster than climate targets. Fleet owners should expect tighter urban rules well before the deadline.
Three questions for your next leadership meeting
- Are our product plans aligned with the earliest engine ban dates?
- How will we secure charging for our fleet?
- Which city rules could affect our vehicles before the national ban?
The trends and technologies behind this story
From the 311 Starburst, the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit’s map of the technologies and trends shaping the next 50 years.
Analysis by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit, from Matthew Griffin’s article and 311 data. First published on Fanatical Futurist.
FAQ
Why does this matter?
As electric vehicles become more reliable and affordable countries around the world are sounding the death knell for the combustion engine and banning them from their roads

About the author
Matthew Griffin Founder, President and Futurist, 311 Institute
Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath."
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Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath." 17-time best selling author of the "Codex of the Future" series, Matthew is the Founder, President and Futurist of the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures advisory firm working with royal households, world leaders, G7, G20, and G77 governments, NGOs, and multi-national mid and mega cap firms to help them explore, shape, and lead the next 50 years of business and society.
An award-winning YouTube creator with over a million followers, with an unrivalled global reach and impact, Matthew is a highly sought-after international keynote speaker, lecturer, and mentor who collaborates with global leaders through the United Nations Alliance of Civilizations (UNAOC) and United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) to shape pivotal initiatives such as the UN’s AI for Humanity program, the United Nations Conference of the Parties (UN COP), and the World Economic Forum in Davos.
As the former Global Head of Cloud, National Security, and Enterprise Sales for companies including Atos, Dell-EMC, and IBM, Matthew has a proven track record of building multi-billion dollar business units and turning failing divisions into market leaders. His ability to identify, analyse, and communicate the implications of hundreds of emerging technologies and trends is unparalleled, and his insights are trusted by many of the world’s most respected organisations, including ABB, Accenture, Adidas, AON, ARM, BCG, Centrica, Citi, Coca-Cola, Dentons, Deloitte, Dow Jones, EY, Google, KPMG, Lego, Legal & General, LinkedIn, Microsoft, PepsiCo, Qualcomm, RWE, Samsung, Siemens AG and Siemens Energy, T-Mobile, UBS, VISA, Walmart, Workday, Worldpay and many others.
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Sources and further reading
- ClientEarth clientearth.org
- Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders smmt.co.uk
- Aston Martin astonmartin.com
Source: first published by the 311 Institute on 5 August 2017. Cite as: Griffin, M. (2017). Britain bans sale of combustion engines from 2040. 311 Institute. https://www.311institute.com/britain-bans-sale-of-combustion-engines-from-2040/
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