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Companies are racing to fill the seas with autonomous drone ships

It seems like every mode of transport is going autonomous these days, and that's because it is, and cargo ships of every kind are no exception.

Cite or link to this article

Griffin, M. (2017) 'Companies are racing to fill the seas with autonomous drone ships', 311 Institute, 26 June. Available at: https://www.311institute.com/companies-are-racing-to-fill-the-seas-with-autonomous-drone-ships/ (Accessed: 8 October 2026).

Forget Uber’s itsy bitsy diddy self-driving cars, and Otto’s self-driving semi-trucks, if you want a robot to haul a heavy load in the future, it might be worth considering investing in a self-piloting container ship instead, after all, unlike puny semi-trucks they can shift hundreds of thousands of tons of cargo all day every day.

Plenty of companies have been dipping their toe in the water and building modest autonomous boats, such as the Roboats that will soon be entering service in Amsterdam, and the US military has also been filling the seas with its own autonomous ships, albeit of a very different kind, but soon those boats will be dwarfed by giants displacing hundreds of thousands of tonnes.

After all, as experts keep happily pointing, fully robotic cargo ships will be faster, safer, and ultimately cheaper to operate than their crewed counterparts, and that promise hasn’t escaped the attention of some of the world’s largest users of maritime freight who are all piling into the space and creating their own consortiums to explore the technology further.

Japan's shipbuilders and freight companies, for example, who want to have the first cargo ship prototypes on the market as early as 2025, are working together to build technology that will let the new ships chart their own courses. The vision? An on board Artificial Intelligence (AI) that will gather data from various sensors and external data sources to assess the weather conditions and ocean traffic so they can constantly plot the safest and most fuel and time efficient routes.

Meanwhile, BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto, two of the world’s largest mining companies, who are both on an automation tear, albeit with their mining operations, are both looking to adopt autonomous ships to transport millions of tons of iron ore, copper, and coal around the globe, and they believe that by doing so they could save the iron ore market alone as much as $86 billion per year.

A little less ambitiously and over in Norway chemical company Yara recently announced that they were teaming up with Konsberg to start trials of the world’s first all electric autonomous container ship along the coast from its Porsgrunn production plant to the ports of Brevik and Larvik in 2018. Initially it will be fully crewed, but the ship has been designed to be controlled remotely by 2019 and then, hopefully, sail itself from 2020.

All of these projects, in part, look like they’re trying to build on a grand vision outlined by Rolls Royce last year where the company envisioned a future where the cargo ships of 2020 onwards ply the seas without a single crew member aboard, but, just like the first wave of self-driving cars and semi-trucks, ships will gain features, such as autonomous navigation, incrementally. No matter the timeline though it’s clear that the tide is beginning to turn and we’re headed towards a future where the seas are full of robotic ships, and robotic pirates… alright maybe not the last one but hey, why not?

311 Intelligence

What this means for your organisation

Consortiums share the cost of change.

Shipbuilders and freight firms are pooling effort rather than going alone. Shared development spreads risk and sets common standards. Firms in shipping should decide which alliances to join.

Freight economics could shift.

Robotic ships promise lower running costs and safer voyages. Cheaper freight changes where it makes sense to source and build. Supply chain leaders should model the effect on their networks.

AI must handle the open sea.

Ships that chart their own courses must cope with weather, traffic and failures far from help. Reliability will decide adoption. Insurers and operators should demand strong evidence from trials.

Three questions for your next leadership meeting

  1. Which shipping alliances should we join or follow?
  2. How would cheaper sea freight change our sourcing?
  3. What evidence would we need before trusting autonomous vessels?

The trends and technologies behind this story

From the 311 Starburst, the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit’s map of the technologies and trends shaping the next 50 years.

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Analysis by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit, from Matthew Griffin’s article and 311 data. First published on Fanatical Futurist.

FAQ

Why does this matter?

It seems like every mode of transport is going autonomous these days, and that's because it is, and cargo ships of every kind are no exception.

Matthew Griffin

About the author

Matthew Griffin Founder, President and Futurist, 311 Institute

Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath."

Read full bio

Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath." 17-time best selling author of the "Codex of the Future" series, Matthew is the Founder, President and Futurist of the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures advisory firm working with royal households, world leaders, G7, G20, and G77 governments, NGOs, and multi-national mid and mega cap firms to help them explore, shape, and lead the next 50 years of business and society.

An award-winning YouTube creator with over a million followers, with an unrivalled global reach and impact, Matthew is a highly sought-after international keynote speaker, lecturer, and mentor who collaborates with global leaders through the United Nations Alliance of Civilizations (UNAOC) and United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) to shape pivotal initiatives such as the UN’s AI for Humanity programme, the United Nations Conference of the Parties (UN COP), and the World Economic Forum in Davos.

As the former Global Head of Cloud, National Security, and Enterprise Sales for companies including Atos, Dell-EMC, and IBM, Matthew has a proven track record of building multi-billion dollar business units and turning failing divisions into market leaders. His ability to identify, analyse, and communicate the implications of hundreds of emerging technologies and trends is unparalleled, and his insights are trusted by many of the world’s most respected organisations, including ABB, Accenture, Adidas, AON, ARM, BCG, Centrica, Citi, Coca-Cola, Dentons, Deloitte, Dow Jones, EY, Google, KPMG, Lego, Legal & General, LinkedIn, Microsoft, PepsiCo, Qualcomm, RWE, Samsung, Siemens AG and Siemens Energy, T-Mobile, UBS, VISA, Walmart, Workday, Worldpay and many others.

Regularly featured in the global media including the AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, Forbes, Khaleej Times, Telegraph, TIME, ViacomCBS, WIRED, and the WSJ, Matthews mission is to help organisations create a fair and sustainable future whose benefits are shared by everyone irrespective of their ability, background, or circumstances.

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Sources and further reading

  1. Yara yara.com
  2. Konsberg km.kongsberg.com

Source: first published by the 311 Institute on 26 June 2017. Cite as: Griffin, M. (2017). Companies are racing to fill the seas with autonomous drone ships. 311 Institute. https://www.311institute.com/companies-are-racing-to-fill-the-seas-with-autonomous-drone-ships/

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