Skip to main content
AskVantage

Security and privacy

AI can now independently plan and execute cyber attacks without human intervention

In time cyber attacks will move from AI-Assisted, to automated, to simply autonomous. And noone's ready.

Key takeaways

  • Large Language Models (LLMs) have long been considered useful tools in areas like data analysis, content generation, and code assistance.
  • With these settings, they were able to test the models in more realistic network setups.
  • In one case, they recreated the same conditions that led to the 2017 Equifax breach, including the vulnerabilities and layout documented in official reports.
Cite or link to this article

Griffin, M. (2025) 'AI can now independently plan and execute cyber attacks without human intervention', 311 Institute, 9 October. Available at: https://www.311institute.com/ai-can-now-independently-plan-and-execute-cyber-attacks-without-human-intervention/ (Accessed: 25 October 2026).

Large Language Models (LLMs) have long been considered useful tools in areas like data analysis, content generation, and code assistance. However, a new study from Carnegie Mellon University, conducted in collaboration with Anthropic, has raised difficult questions about their role in cybersecurity.

The study showed that under the right conditions, LLMs can plan and carry out complex cyberattacks without human guidance, suggesting a shift from mere assistance to full autonomy in digital intrusion, as we’ve seen previously with the world’s first fully autonomous cyber attack test.

Earlier experiments with Artificial Intelligence (AI) in cybersecurity were mostly limited to “capture-the-flag” scenarios, simplified challenges used for training.

The Future of Cyber 2030, by Keynote Matthew Griffin

The Carnegie Mellon team, led by PhD candidate Brian Singer, went further by giving LLMs structured guidance and integrating them into a hierarchy of agents. With these settings, they were able to test the models in more realistic network setups.

In one case, they recreated the same conditions that led to the 2017 Equifax breach, including the vulnerabilities and layout documented in official reports. The AI not only planned the attack but also deployed malware and extracted data, all without direct human commands.

What makes this research striking is how little raw coding the LLM had to perform. Traditional approaches often fail because models struggle to execute shell commands or parse detailed logs.

Instead, this system relied on a higher-level structure where the LLM acted as a planner while delegating lower-level actions to sub-agents.

This abstraction gave the AI enough context to “understand” and adapt to its environment.

Although these results were achieved in a controlled lab setting, they raise questions about how far this autonomy could go.

The risks here are not just hypothetical. If LLMs can carry out network breaches on their own, then malicious actors could potentially use them to scale attacks far beyond what’s feasible with human teams.

Even tools such as endpoint protection and the best antivirus software may be tested by such adaptive and responsive agents.

Nevertheless, there are potential benefits to this capability. An LLM capable of mimicking realistic attacks might be used to improve system testing and expose flaws that would otherwise go unnoticed.

“It only works under specific conditions, and we do not have something that could just autonomously attack the internet… But it’s a critical first step,” said Singer in explaining that this work remains a prototype.

Still, the ability of an AI to replicate a major breach with minimal input should not be dismissed.

Follow-up research is now exploring how these same techniques can be applied in defense, potentially even enabling AI agents to detect or block attacks in real-time.

311 Intelligence

What this means for your organisation

Attacks can now scale.

An AI that breaches networks alone could run many attacks at once. Human attacker teams no longer limit volume. Expect more frequent, faster attempts.

Old weaknesses matter most.

The test recreated a known breach using documented flaws. Unpatched systems remain the easiest targets. Close known vulnerabilities first.

Defence must automate too.

Autonomous cyber reasoning systems can find and fix flaws at machine speed. Security teams need similar tools. Pair AI defence with human oversight.

Three questions for your next leadership meeting

  1. Could our defences cope with attacks run at machine speed?
  2. How quickly do we patch known vulnerabilities?
  3. Are we using AI to defend as well as detect?

The trends and technologies behind this story

From the 311 Starburst, the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit’s map of the technologies and trends shaping the next 50 years.

Brief your leadership team on cyber riskA private briefing on the new threat landscape and what it means for your organisation. In person first, anywhere in the world.
Book a Briefing

Analysis by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit, from Matthew Griffin’s article and 311 data. First published on Fanatical Futurist.

FAQ

Why does this matter?

In time cyber attacks will move from AI-Assisted, to automated, to simply autonomous. And noone's ready.

Matthew Griffin

About the author

Matthew Griffin Founder, President and Futurist, 311 Institute

Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath."

Read full bio

Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath." 17-time best selling author of the "Codex of the Future" series, Matthew is the Founder, President and Futurist of the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures advisory firm working with royal households, world leaders, G7, G20, and G77 governments, NGOs, and multi-national mid and mega cap firms to help them explore, shape, and lead the next 50 years of business and society.

An award-winning YouTube creator with over a million followers, with an unrivalled global reach and impact, Matthew is a highly sought-after international keynote speaker, lecturer, and mentor who collaborates with global leaders through the United Nations Alliance of Civilizations (UNAOC) and United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) to shape pivotal initiatives such as the UN’s AI for Humanity programme, the United Nations Conference of the Parties (UN COP), and the World Economic Forum in Davos.

As the former Global Head of Cloud, National Security, and Enterprise Sales for companies including Atos, Dell-EMC, and IBM, Matthew has a proven track record of building multi-billion dollar business units and turning failing divisions into market leaders. His ability to identify, analyse, and communicate the implications of hundreds of emerging technologies and trends is unparalleled, and his insights are trusted by many of the world’s most respected organisations, including ABB, Accenture, Adidas, AON, ARM, BCG, Centrica, Citi, Coca-Cola, Dentons, Deloitte, Dow Jones, EY, Google, KPMG, Lego, Legal & General, LinkedIn, Microsoft, PepsiCo, Qualcomm, RWE, Samsung, Siemens AG and Siemens Energy, T-Mobile, UBS, VISA, Walmart, Workday, Worldpay and many others.

Regularly featured in the global media including the AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, Forbes, Khaleej Times, Telegraph, TIME, ViacomCBS, WIRED, and the WSJ, Matthews mission is to help organisations create a fair and sustainable future whose benefits are shared by everyone irrespective of their ability, background, or circumstances.

What future do you need to see?

Choose one to get started on security and privacy and the future of your organisation.

Where should Matthew reply?

Takes 30 seconds. No obligation. Matthew replies quickly. Privacy

Tag Cloud

Dossier opens the 311 Starburst dossier for that technology or trend.

Sources and further reading

  1. Carnegie Mellon University engineering.cmu.edu
  2. Best endpoint security software techradar.com
  3. best antivirus software techradar.com
Book Matthew