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Elon Musk warns that AI could “become an immortal dictator”

Musk has a point that an all controlling AI could become the embodiment of an immortal dictator, but hopefully it's a vision that won't come to pass.

Key takeaways

  • In a documentary by American filmmaker Chris Paine, Musk said that the development of ASI by a company or other organisation could result in a form of AI that governs not just an individual country but the whole world.
  • After all, despite efforts to the contrary the internet, for example, is still essentially both ubiquitous and stateless.
  • In 2016, AlphaGo, a program developed by the company, beat champion Lee Se-dol at the board game Go.
Cite or link to this article

Griffin, M. (2018) 'Elon Musk warns that AI could “become an immortal dictator”', 311 Institute, 2 May. Available at: https://www.311institute.com/elon-musk-warns-that-ai-could-become-an-immortal-dictator/ (Accessed: 1 October 2026).

By definition Artificial Super Intelligence (ASI), is a form of Artificial Intelligence (AI) that isn’t just smarter than a person, it’s an AI that’s smarter than the entire human race put together and recently Elon Musk has argued that unlike today where a dictators reign ends, or at least could end, when they die, an ASI could be used to create an “immortal dictator” that would rule our increasingly hyperconnected world until the end of time. And stepping this up a notch I'd suggest they could recruit tomorrow's self-evolving robots, like this one, to keep us all in line. Yes, I'm equally good at painting out a vision of a dystopian future, and now for some cat photos...

In a documentary by American filmmaker Chris Paine, Musk said that the development of ASI by a company or other organisation could result in a form of AI that governs not just an individual country but the whole world. After all, despite efforts to the contrary the internet, for example, is still essentially both ubiquitous and stateless.

"The least scary future I can think of is one where we have at least democratised AI because if one company or small group of people manages to develop godlike digital superintelligence, they could take over the world," Musk said, “at least when there's an evil dictator, that human is going to die. But for an AI, there would be no death. It would live forever. And then you'd have an immortal dictator from which we can never escape."

The documentary by Paine examines a number of examples of AI, including autonomous weapons, Wall Street technology and algorithms driving fake news. It also draws from cultural examples of AI, such as the 1999 film "The Matrix" and 2016 film "Ex Machina."

Musk cited Google's DeepMind as an example of a company looking to develop ASI and he wouldn’t be far wrong because last year they were the first organisation to publish an AI blueprint for Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or an AI that in other words has all the cognitive merits and skills of a “regular human,” and achieving AGI will put us then firmly on the path to realising ASI.

In 2016, AlphaGo, a program developed by the company, beat champion Lee Se-dol at the board game Go. It was seen a major achievement in the development of AI, after IBM's Deep Blue computer defeated chess champion Garry Kasparov in 1997, and just a year or so later that same AI is now self-learning, while its siblings are now self-evolving and even spawning new “child” AI’s.

"The DeepMind system can win at any game. It can already beat all the original Atari games. It is super human; it plays all the games at super speed in less than a minute," said Musk, who also recently said that AI poses the greatest threat to the internet as a whole.

The Tesla and SpaceX CEO said that AI "doesn't have to be evil to destroy humanity."

"If AI has a goal and humanity just happens to be in the way, it will destroy humanity as a matter of course without even thinking about it. No hard feelings," Musk said, “it's just like, if we're building a road and an anthill just happens to be in the way, we don't hate ants, we're just building a road, and so, goodbye anthill."

Last year Musk also warned that the global race toward AI could result in a third world war, and he’s also suggested that the emerging technology could pose a greater risk to the world than a nuclear conflict with North Korea. However, critics could also say that all these doomsday predictions are wildly out of place, especially given the fact that Musk’s NeuraLink company is today busily burning its way through $100 million of his cash to create a variant of the "upgrade for your brain" Neural Lace, a direct Brain-to-Machine, or Brain-to-AI, interface that will one day let humans connect directly with these same said AI’s, something that another group of experts has already said could open the way for brain hacking and brain hijacking.

All that said though, and at least from my perspective, it’s important that we have these types of good versus bad debates now, because as history has shown us all too frequently, normally governments and law makers only have these types of debates when they’re either forced to, after something has happened, or too late when the horse has already bolted. Love his argument or loathe it, at least he’s putting across a point of view, and I for one don’t want him to be able to tell us all he told us so…

311 Intelligence

What this means for your organisation

Concentrated control is the risk.

Musk said that if one company or small group builds godlike digital superintelligence, they could take over the world. A human dictator dies, but an AI would not. Our data places artificial super intelligence at Watch, with wide use around 2046.

The path runs through AGI.

DeepMind published a blueprint for artificial general intelligence, and achieving it would put us on the path to superintelligence. Our data places AGI at Explore, with wide use around 2033. Self-learning AI is already at Prepare, with wide use around 2030.

Set the rules before the event.

Governments and law makers tend to debate only after something has happened, or when it is too late. Leaders should not copy that habit. Constitutional AI trains a system to follow a written set of rules, and AI as a trend sits at Act now.

Three questions for your next leadership meeting

  1. Which of our systems depend on one AI supplier or a small group?
  2. What written rules should any AI we deploy be made to follow?
  3. Who tracks progress toward AGI and reports it to the board?

The trends and technologies behind this story

From the 311 Starburst, the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit’s map of the technologies and trends shaping the next 50 years.

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Analysis by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit, from Matthew Griffin’s article and 311 data. First published on Fanatical Futurist.

FAQ

Why does this matter?

Musk has a point that an all controlling AI could become the embodiment of an immortal dictator, but hopefully it's a vision that won't come to pass.

Matthew Griffin

About the author

Matthew Griffin Founder, President and Futurist, 311 Institute

Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath."

Read full bio

Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath." 17-time best selling author of the "Codex of the Future" series, Matthew is the Founder, President and Futurist of the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures advisory firm working with royal households, world leaders, G7, G20, and G77 governments, NGOs, and multi-national mid and mega cap firms to help them explore, shape, and lead the next 50 years of business and society.

An award-winning YouTube creator with over a million followers, with an unrivalled global reach and impact, Matthew is a highly sought-after international keynote speaker, lecturer, and mentor who collaborates with global leaders through the United Nations Alliance of Civilizations (UNAOC) and United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) to shape pivotal initiatives such as the UN’s AI for Humanity program, the United Nations Conference of the Parties (UN COP), and the World Economic Forum in Davos.

As the former Global Head of Cloud, National Security, and Enterprise Sales for companies including Atos, Dell-EMC, and IBM, Matthew has a proven track record of building multi-billion dollar business units and turning failing divisions into market leaders. His ability to identify, analyse, and communicate the implications of hundreds of emerging technologies and trends is unparalleled, and his insights are trusted by many of the world’s most respected organisations, including ABB, Accenture, Adidas, AON, ARM, BCG, Centrica, Citi, Coca-Cola, Dentons, Deloitte, Dow Jones, EY, Google, KPMG, Lego, Legal & General, LinkedIn, Microsoft, PepsiCo, Qualcomm, RWE, Samsung, Siemens AG and Siemens Energy, T-Mobile, UBS, VISA, Walmart, Workday, Worldpay and many others.

Regularly featured in the global media including the AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, Forbes, Khaleej Times, Telegraph, TIME, ViacomCBS, WIRED, and the WSJ, Matthews mission is to help organisations create a fair and sustainable future whose benefits are shared by everyone irrespective of their ability, background, or circumstances.

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Sources and further reading

  1. Elon musk cnbc.com
  2. Search google.co.uk

Source: first published by the 311 Institute on 2 May 2018. Cite as: Griffin, M. (2018). Elon Musk warns that AI could “become an immortal dictator”. 311 Institute. https://www.311institute.com/elon-musk-warns-that-ai-could-become-an-immortal-dictator/

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