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Elon Musk targets full global energy transition with Master Plan 3

The world is at the beginning of a massive energy transition, and Musk wants his companies to play a central role.

Key takeaways

  • Say this for Elon Musk: When it comes to setting goals, he doesn't short change himself.
  • The event at the company's Gigafactory Texas plant near Austin marked Musk's unveiling of Master Plan 3 for the company, the latest iteration of a vision that extends his first Master Plan in 2006.
  • Much of the plan hasn't reached fruition, and the company two weeks ago recalled 362,000 vehicles because of fears that its experimental driver-assistance software, called Full Self-Driving Beta, may cause accidents.
Cite or link to this article

Griffin, M. (2023) 'Elon Musk targets full global energy transition with Master Plan 3', 311 Institute, 6 May. Available at: https://www.311institute.com/elon-musk-targets-full-global-energy-transition-with-master-plan-3/ (Accessed: 1 October 2026).

Say this for Elon Musk: When it comes to setting goals, he doesn't short change himself. Tesla unveiled their so-called "Master Plan 3" recently, with Musk, the electric vehicle maker's high-profile CEO, playing the starring role at the company's first-ever annual investor day.

For his part, Musk did nothing to disappoint those expecting bold pronouncements because the goal of the new master plan is nothing less than worldwide energy sustainability.

"There is a clear path to a fully sustainable Earth, with abundance," Musk proclaimed in his opening remarks. "I'm just often shocked and surprised by how few people realize this."

Achieving Musk's goal won't come cheap: Tesla estimates the investment to accomplish it will total $10 Trillion, which is ironically way below Bloomberg NEF’s estimate of $92 Trillion - 70% of which consists of a global shift to electric vehicles.

It's not the first time Musk has swung for the fences. The event at the company's Gigafactory Texas plant near Austin marked Musk's unveiling of Master Plan 3 for the company, the latest iteration of a vision that extends his first Master Plan in 2006.

That plan, which included creating a low-volume, expensive electric vehicle whose sales would pave the way for affordable, high-volume cars down the road, hasn't exactly worked out as Musk foresaw. However, it eventually did lead to the production of the Model 3, a high volume seller even at relatively steep price of about $40,000.

Musk's Master Plan 2, some call it Part Deux, in 2016 targeted the creation of solar panel roofs and integrated battery storage, development of self-driving capability 10 times safer than manual driving and expansion of its production line across all key customer segments.

Much of the plan hasn't reached fruition, and the company two weeks ago recalled 362,000 vehicles because of fears that its experimental driver-assistance software, called Full Self-Driving Beta, may cause accidents.

His vision for Tesla is to deliver 20 million cars annually by 2030, and since inception Tesla has produced 4 million vehicles and currently has capacity to manufacture 1.9 million cars per year as it ramps production capacity.

Nonetheless, Tesla's forging ahead with an audacious plan that, if achieved, would completely transform the way world procures and uses energy, much the way Musk's Space X venture aims to revolutionize space travel, and the plan has five overarching elements.

Namely re-powering the world's existing power grid with renewable energy, switching to electric vehicles, switching to heat pumps for home, business, and industry climate control, electrifying high temperature heat delivery and development of green hydrogen for industrial processes, and finally fuelling ships and airplanes with sustainable energy.

Despite the projected cost Musk and Tesla officials said the global transition they envision ultimately will cost 40% less than persistent reliance on fossil fuels, notably a cost that doesn’t include the additional cost of building resilient climate-proof infrastructure and re-homing up to a billion people whose countries have flooded as sea levels rise if we don’t find ways to tame climate change ...

311 Intelligence

What this means for your organisation

The numbers disagree sharply.

Tesla estimates $10 trillion while Bloomberg NEF says $92 trillion. Planning against one figure is risky. Boards should model a range and watch which assumptions move it.

Vehicles dominate the shift.

Bloomberg NEF puts 70% of its figure in the move to electric vehicles. Firms with fleets or in automotive supply chains carry most of that exposure.

Track delivery, not vision.

Earlier plans have only partly come to pass, and a recall of 362,000 vehicles followed driver assistance concerns. Judge suppliers on what they ship, not what they announce.

Three questions for your next leadership meeting

  1. Which transition cost estimate are our plans built on?
  2. How exposed are we to the shift to electric vehicles?
  3. How do we judge supplier promises against delivery?

The trends and technologies behind this story

From the 311 Starburst, the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit’s map of the technologies and trends shaping the next 50 years.

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Analysis by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit, from Matthew Griffin’s article and 311 data. First published on Fanatical Futurist.

FAQ

Why does this matter?

The world is at the beginning of a massive energy transition, and Musk wants his companies to play a central role.

Matthew Griffin

About the author

Matthew Griffin Founder, President and Futurist, 311 Institute

Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath."

Read full bio

Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath." 17-time best selling author of the "Codex of the Future" series, Matthew is the Founder, President and Futurist of the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures advisory firm working with royal households, world leaders, G7, G20, and G77 governments, NGOs, and multi-national mid and mega cap firms to help them explore, shape, and lead the next 50 years of business and society.

An award-winning YouTube creator with over a million followers, with an unrivalled global reach and impact, Matthew is a highly sought-after international keynote speaker, lecturer, and mentor who collaborates with global leaders through the United Nations Alliance of Civilizations (UNAOC) and United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) to shape pivotal initiatives such as the UN’s AI for Humanity program, the United Nations Conference of the Parties (UN COP), and the World Economic Forum in Davos.

As the former Global Head of Cloud, National Security, and Enterprise Sales for companies including Atos, Dell-EMC, and IBM, Matthew has a proven track record of building multi-billion dollar business units and turning failing divisions into market leaders. His ability to identify, analyse, and communicate the implications of hundreds of emerging technologies and trends is unparalleled, and his insights are trusted by many of the world’s most respected organisations, including ABB, Accenture, Adidas, AON, ARM, BCG, Centrica, Citi, Coca-Cola, Dentons, Deloitte, Dow Jones, EY, Google, KPMG, Lego, Legal & General, LinkedIn, Microsoft, PepsiCo, Qualcomm, RWE, Samsung, Siemens AG and Siemens Energy, T-Mobile, UBS, VISA, Walmart, Workday, Worldpay and many others.

Regularly featured in the global media including the AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, Forbes, Khaleej Times, Telegraph, TIME, ViacomCBS, WIRED, and the WSJ, Matthews mission is to help organisations create a fair and sustainable future whose benefits are shared by everyone irrespective of their ability, background, or circumstances.

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Source: first published by the 311 Institute on 6 May 2023. Cite as: Griffin, M. (2023). Elon Musk targets full global energy transition with Master Plan 3. 311 Institute. https://www.311institute.com/elon-musk-targets-full-global-energy-transition-with-master-plan-3/

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