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US job code 53-1041People-facingMedium change by 2035

Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors

Machines can already do 23% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 49%. The job changes before it disappears.

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Share of the work machines can do

Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050

100%75%50%25%20262035205023%Half: 2036

Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors in 2026: the short answer

  • Today: machines can do 23% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 0% of them.
  • Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2036, and 49% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
  • Size: 9,760 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $58,170 a year.
  • Contact with people: it scores 86% for contact with people.
  • Also called: Cargo Supervisor, Ground Operations Supervisor, Line Service Supervisor (LSS), Loadmaster.

Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.

Machines can do today
23%of the tasks, 2026
By 2035
49%half the tasks by 2036
US median pay
$58,170a year, May 2025
US jobs
10k9,760 people
Contact with people
86%how people-facing
Step 1AnticipateWhat is changing? Free to everyone

How the work changes, task by task

The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.

TaskShare of the dayMachines can do2026 to 2035
Direct ground crews in the loading, unloading, securing, or staging of aircraft cargo or baggage48%
10% to 27%
Determine the quantity and orientation of cargo, and compute an aircraft's center of gravity16%
50% to 85%
Calculate load weights for different aircraft compartments, using charts and computers13%
50% to 85%
Distribute cargo to maximize use of space11%
20% to 60%
Train new employees in areas such as safety procedures or equipment operation7%
25% to 50%
Accompany aircraft as a member of the flight crew to monitor and handle cargo in flight5%
3% to 30%
Step 2AssessWhy should I care? Free to everyone

The skills this job runs on

The skills aircraft cargo handling supervisors use most, most used first.

Professionalism and work ethicPhysical and manualInterpersonal skillsLeadershipAdaptability and resilienceMoral intelligence and integritySelf-managementAnalysis and dataManagementOperations and processIT and softwareTeaching and trainingCollaborationCommunicationLearning aptitude and mindsetCritical thinking and problem solvingEmotional intelligence

Safer jobs nearby

Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.

Step 3ActWhat do I do about it? Free plan and up
What do I do about it

What should you do about it?

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Questions

When will machines do half of the tasks of Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors?

Machines can do half of its tasks by 2036. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.

Will AI take the job of aircraft cargo handling supervisors?

Machines can do 23% of the tasks of aircraft cargo handling supervisors today and 49% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.

Sources and citing

Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 53-1041.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.

Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/aircraft-cargo-handling-supervisors/