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US job code 11-1011People-facingHigh change by 2035

Chief Executives

Machines can already do 29% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 50%. The job changes before it disappears.

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Share of the work machines can do

Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050

100%75%50%25%20262035205029%Half: 2035

Chief Executives in 2026: the short answer

  • Today: machines can do 29% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 3% of them.
  • Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2035, and 50% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
  • Size: 204,350 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $213,990 a year.
  • Contact with people: it scores 78% for contact with people.
  • Also called: CEO (Chief Executive Officer), President, Executive Director, Managing Director (MD).
  • Competency here means how well the best AI model, tool or robot available can do a task, scored out of 100: today using the best available now, and for later years the 311 prediction of what AI and robots will be able to do.

Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.

Machines can do today
29%of the tasks, 2026
By 2035
50%half the tasks by 2035
US median pay
$213,990a year, May 2025
US jobs
204k204,350 people
Contact with people
78%how people-facing
Step 1AnticipateWhat is changing? Free to everyone

How the work changes, task by task

The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.

TaskShare of the dayMachines can do2026 to 2035
Confer with board members, organization officials, or staff members to discuss issues, coordinate activities, or resolve problems12%
30% to 54%
Direct, plan, or implement policies, objectives, or activities of organizations or businesses to ensure continuing operations, to maximize returns on investments, or to increase productivity10%
18% to 40%
Direct or coordinate an organization's financial or budget activities to fund operations, maximize investments, or increase efficiency9%
10% to 27%
Analyze operations to evaluate performance of a company or its staff in meeting objectives or to determine areas of potential cost reduction, program improvement, or policy change7%
77% to 97%
Prepare or present reports concerning activities, expenses, budgets, government statutes or rulings, or other items affecting businesses or program services5%
70% to 95%
Direct or coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products5%
10% to 27%
Review reports submitted by staff members to recommend approval or to suggest changes5%
60% to 90%
Implement corrective action plans to solve organizational or departmental problems4%
10% to 27%
Step 2AssessWhy should I care? Free to everyone

The skills this job runs on

The skills chief executives use most, most used first.

Interdisciplinary thinkingLeadershipMoral intelligence and integrityProfessionalism and work ethicManagementAdaptability and resilienceFinancial skillsCreative and innovative thinkingCritical thinking and problem solvingEntrepreneurial mindsetInterpersonal skillsSelf-managementAnalysis and dataOperations and processEconomicsIT and softwareTeaching and trainingSelling and negotiationCollaborationCommunicationLearning aptitude and mindsetEmotional intelligenceLegal knowledge

Human value: what makes people in this job hard to replace

How much chief executives rely on each one, from 0 to 10. 311 estimates, medium confidence.

  • Go-to problem solver10/10
  • Trust and reliability10/10
  • Know-how about the organisation10/10
  • Network and relationships10/10
  • Mentoring and developing others10/10
  • Culture and morale10/10
  • Initiative beyond the role10/10
  • Calm in a crisis9/10
  • Bridge between teams10/10
  • Reputation and influence10/10

Safer jobs nearby

Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.

This job is already among the lowest risk for its skill shape.

Step 3ActWhat do I do about it? Free plan and up
What do I do about it

What should you do about it?

Open this job in the Workforce Starburst to see it for your country, then use these to act on it.

  • Watch This Job

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  • Skills to learn next

    The skills that make this job, or the next one, last longer.

    In the Starburst
  • Check your readiness

    Ten quick questions on how ready you are.

    Free
  • Ask Vantage

    Ask what this job means for you and get a sourced answer.

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  • Futures Academy courses

    Courses matched to your gaps.

    Coming soon
  • Pay trend

    Where pay for this job is heading.

    Coming soon
  • Team plan

    Every role in your team, side by side, with a plan for each.

    Pro and Corporate
  • Shared workspace

    Work through it with your team, with notes and decisions kept.

    Pro and Corporate

Questions

When will machines do half of the tasks of Chief Executives?

Machines can do half of its tasks by 2035. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.

Will AI take the job of chief executives?

Machines can do 29% of the tasks of chief executives today and 50% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.

Sources and citing

Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 11-1011.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring, forecast and human value: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit (human value scores are 311 estimates, medium confidence); after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.

Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Chief Executives: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/chief-executives/