Education Administrators, Kindergarten through Secondary
Machines can already do 28% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 51%. The job changes before it disappears.
Share of the work machines can do
Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050
Education Administrators, Kindergarten through Secondary in 2026: the short answer
- Today: machines can do 28% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 5% of them.
- Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2034, and 51% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
- Size: 328,330 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $105,870 a year.
- Contact with people: it scores 83% for contact with people.
- Also called: Athletic Director, Curriculum and Instruction Superintendent, Curriculum Director, Elementary Principal.
Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.
How the work changes, task by task
The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.
| Task | Share of the day | Machines can do | 2026 to 2035 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Confer with parents and staff to discuss educational activities, policies, and student behavior or learning problems | 9% | 35% to 58% | |
| Enforce discipline and attendance rules | 9% | 10% to 27% | |
| Direct and coordinate activities of teachers, administrators, and support staff at schools, public agencies, and institutions | 9% | 10% to 27% | |
| Observe teaching methods and examine learning materials to evaluate and standardize curricula and teaching techniques and to determine areas for improvement | 6% | 35% to 65% | |
| Counsel and provide guidance to students regarding personal, academic, vocational, or behavioral issues | 6% | 22% to 43% | |
| Recruit, hire, train, and evaluate primary and supplemental staff | 6% | 28% to 52% | |
| Prepare, maintain, or oversee the preparation and maintenance of attendance, activity, planning, or personnel reports and records | 5% | 50% to 73% | |
| Coordinate and direct extracurricular activities and programs, such as after-school events and athletic contests | 5% | 25% to 50% |
The skills this job runs on
The skills education administrators, kindergarten through secondary use most, most used first.
Safer jobs nearby
Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.
- Chief Operating Officers50% of tasks by 2035
- Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education50% of tasks by 2035 · US median $62,680
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Questions
When will machines do half of the tasks of Education Administrators, Kindergarten through Secondary?
Machines can do half of its tasks by 2034. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.
Will AI take the job of education administrators, kindergarten through secondary?
Machines can do 28% of the tasks of education administrators, kindergarten through secondary today and 51% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.
Sources and citing
Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 11-9032.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.
Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Education Administrators, Kindergarten through Secondary: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/education-administrators-kindergarten-through-secondary/