Family Medicine Physicians
Machines can already do 32% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 50%. The job changes before it disappears.
Share of the work machines can do
Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050
Family Medicine Physicians in 2026: the short answer
- Today: machines can do 32% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 0% of them.
- Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2035, and 50% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
- Size: 107,510 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $244,180 a year.
- Contact with people: it scores 97% for contact with people.
- Also called: Board Certified Family Physician, Family Medicine Physician, Family Physician, Family Practice Medical Doctor (FP MD).
Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.
How the work changes, task by task
The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.
| Task | Share of the day | Machines can do | 2026 to 2035 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Collect, record, and maintain patient information, such as medical history, reports, or examination results | 20% | 64% to 78% | |
| Prescribe or administer treatment, therapy, medication, vaccination, and other specialized medical care to treat or prevent illness, disease, or injury | 18% | 3% to 25% | |
| Order, perform, and interpret tests and analyze records, reports, and examination information to diagnose patients' condition | 17% | 3% to 25% | |
| Monitor patients' conditions and progress and reevaluate treatments as necessary | 12% | 36% to 68% | |
| Explain procedures and discuss test results or prescribed treatments with patients | 12% | 70% to 74% | |
| Advise patients and community members concerning diet, activity, hygiene, and disease prevention | 6% | 32% to 50% | |
| Coordinate work with nurses, social workers, rehabilitation therapists, pharmacists, psychologists, and other health care providers | 4% | 27% to 46% | |
| Direct and coordinate activities of nurses, students, assistants, specialists, therapists, and other medical staff | 3% | 9% to 23% |
The skills this job runs on
The skills family medicine physicians use most, most used first.
Safer jobs nearby
Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.
- Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation Physicians49% of tasks by 2035 · US median $265,930
- Sports Medicine Physicians42% of tasks by 2035 · US median $265,930
- Orthodontists40% of tasks by 2035 · US median $289,140
- Obstetricians and Gynecologists44% of tasks by 2035 · US median $292,910
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Questions
When will machines do half of the tasks of Family Medicine Physicians?
Machines can do half of its tasks by 2035. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.
Will AI take the job of family medicine physicians?
Machines can do 32% of the tasks of family medicine physicians today and 50% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.
Sources and citing
Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 29-1215.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.
Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Family Medicine Physicians: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/family-medicine-physicians/