First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers
Machines can already do 29% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 55%. The job changes before it disappears.
Share of the work machines can do
Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050
First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers in 2026: the short answer
- Today: machines can do 29% of this job's tasks.
- Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2034, and 55% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
- Size: 81,480 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $55,940 a year.
- Contact with people: it scores 88% for contact with people.
- Also called: Campus Safety Chief, Public Safety Manager, Public Safety Supervisor, Security Chief.
Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.
How the work changes, task by task
The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.
| Task | Share of the day | Machines can do | 2026 to 2035 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patrol the premises to prevent or detect intrusion, protect property, or preserve order | 10% | 27% to 64% | |
| Monitor the behavior of security employees to ensure adherence to quality standards, deadlines, or procedures | 10% | 22% to 47% | |
| Monitor closed-circuit television cameras | 9% | 36% to 68% | |
| Investigate disturbances on the premises, such as security alarms, altercations, and suspicious activity | 7% | 27% to 64% | |
| Monitor and authorize entry of employees, visitors, or other persons | 7% | 22% to 51% | |
| Write reports documenting observations made while on patrol | 6% | 63% to 81% | |
| Advise employees in handling problems or resolving complaints from customers, tenants, detainees, or other persons | 6% | 22% to 42% | |
| Assign security personnel to posts or patrols | 5% | 16% to 33% |
The skills this job runs on
The skills first-line supervisors of security workers use most, most used first.
Safer jobs nearby
Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.
- Fish and Game Wardens39% of tasks by 2035 · US median $74,060
- First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers40% of tasks by 2035 · US median $77,970
- First-Line Supervisors of Passenger Attendants51% of tasks by 2035
- Correctional Officers and Jailers38% of tasks by 2035 · US median $58,940
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Questions
When will machines do half of the tasks of First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers?
Machines can do half of its tasks by 2034. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.
Will AI take the job of first-line supervisors of security workers?
Machines can do 29% of the tasks of first-line supervisors of security workers today and 55% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.
Sources and citing
Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 33-1091.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.
Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/first-line-supervisors-of-security-workers/