Gambling Dealers
Machines can already do 21% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 58%. The job changes before it disappears.
Share of the work machines can do
Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050
Gambling Dealers in 2026: the short answer
- Today: machines can do 21% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 0% of them.
- Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2034, and 58% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
- Size: 83,910 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $34,320 a year.
- Contact with people: it scores 88% for contact with people.
- Also called: Black Jack Dealer, Blackjack Dealer, Card Dealer, Casino Dealer.
Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.
How the work changes, task by task
The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.
| Task | Share of the day | Machines can do | 2026 to 2035 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pay winnings or collect losing bets as established by the rules and procedures of a specific game | 19% | 20% to 60% | |
| Stand behind a gaming table and deal the appropriate number of cards to each player | 16% | 20% to 60% | |
| Deal cards to house hands, and compare these with players' hands to determine winners, as in black jack | 12% | 20% to 60% | |
| Conduct gambling games, such as dice, roulette, cards, or keno, following all applicable rules and regulations | 10% | 30% to 75% | |
| Exchange paper currency for playing chips or coin money | 5% | 30% to 75% | |
| Work as part of a team of dealers in games, such as baccarat or craps | 5% | 20% to 60% | |
| Start and control games and gaming equipment, and announce winning numbers or colors | 5% | 3% to 30% | |
| Greet customers and make them feel welcome | 4% | 10% to 32% |
The skills this job runs on
The skills gambling dealers use most, most used first.
Safer jobs nearby
Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.
- Ophthalmic Medical Technicians52% of tasks by 2035 · US median $45,570
- School Bus Monitors49% of tasks by 2035 · US median $35,100
- Pest Control Workers54% of tasks by 2035 · US median $45,250
- Ushers, Lobby Attendants, and Ticket Takers54% of tasks by 2035 · US median $32,910
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Questions
When will machines do half of the tasks of Gambling Dealers?
Machines can do half of its tasks by 2034. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.
Will AI take the job of gambling dealers?
Machines can do 21% of the tasks of gambling dealers today and 58% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.
Sources and citing
Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 39-3011.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.
Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Gambling Dealers: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/gambling-dealers/