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US job code 51-4081High change by 2035

Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

Machines can already do 25% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 64%. The job changes before it disappears.

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Share of the work machines can do

Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050

100%75%50%25%20262035205025%Half: 2033

Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic in 2026: the short answer

  • Today: machines can do 25% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 0% of them.
  • Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2033, and 64% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
  • Size: 124,590 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $47,180 a year.
  • Contact with people: it scores 63% for contact with people.
  • Also called: Cell Technician, CNC Machine Setter (Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Setter), Fabrication Set-Up Person, Injection Molding Technician.

Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.

Machines can do today
25%of the tasks, 2026
By 2035
64%half the tasks by 2033
US median pay
$47,180a year, May 2025
US jobs
125k124,590 people
Contact with people
63%how people-facing
Step 1AnticipateWhat is changing? Free to everyone

How the work changes, task by task

The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.

TaskShare of the dayMachines can do2026 to 2035
Set up and operate machines, such as lathes, cutters, shears, borers, millers, grinders, presses, drills, or auxiliary machines, to make metallic and plastic workpieces16%
20% to 60%
Position, adjust, and secure stock material or workpieces against stops, on arbors, or in chucks, fixtures, or automatic feeding mechanisms, manually or using hoists13%
20% to 60%
Observe machine operation to detect workpiece defects or machine malfunctions, adjusting machines as necessary13%
30% to 75%
Inspect workpieces for defects, and measure workpieces to determine accuracy of machine operation, using rules, templates, or other measuring instruments12%
20% to 60%
Select, install, and adjust alignment of drills, cutters, dies, guides, and holding devices, using templates, measuring instruments, and hand tools7%
20% to 60%
Read blueprints or job orders to determine product specifications and tooling instructions and to plan operational sequences5%
55% to 85%
Remove burrs, sharp edges, rust, or scale from workpieces, using files, hand grinders, wire brushes, or power tools5%
20% to 60%
Change worn machine accessories, such as cutting tools or brushes, using hand tools4%
20% to 60%
Step 2AssessWhy should I care? Free to everyone

The skills this job runs on

The skills multiple machine tool setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic use most, most used first.

Professionalism and work ethicPhysical and manualOperations and processTrade craftsAnalysis and dataProduction and makingCommunicationInterdisciplinary thinking

Safer jobs nearby

Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.

Step 3ActWhat do I do about it? Free plan and up
What do I do about it

What should you do about it?

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    Where pay for this job is heading.

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  • Team plan

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Questions

When will machines do half of the tasks of Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic?

Machines can do half of its tasks by 2033. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.

Will AI take the job of multiple machine tool setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic?

Machines can do 25% of the tasks of multiple machine tool setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic today and 64% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.

Sources and citing

Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 51-4081.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.

Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Multiple Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/multiple-machine-tool-setters-operators-and-tenders-metal-and-plastic/