Pediatricians, General
Machines can already do 24% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 43%. The job changes before it disappears.
Share of the work machines can do
Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050
Pediatricians, General in 2026: the short answer
- Today: machines can do 24% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 0% of them.
- Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2038, and 43% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
- Size: 39,390 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $210,040 a year.
- Contact with people: it scores 86% for contact with people.
- Also called: Developmental Pediatrician, Emergency Room Pediatrician (ER Pediatrician), General Pediatrician, Group Practice Pediatrician.
Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.
How the work changes, task by task
The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.
| Task | Share of the day | Machines can do | 2026 to 2035 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Collect, record, and maintain patient information, such as medical history, reports, or examination results | 15% | 64% to 78% | |
| Examine children regularly to assess their growth and development | 13% | 3% to 25% | |
| Treat children who have minor illnesses, acute and chronic health problems, and growth and development concerns | 13% | 3% to 25% | |
| Prescribe or administer treatment, therapy, medication, vaccination, and other specialized medical care to treat or prevent illness, disease, or injury in infants and children | 11% | 3% to 25% | |
| Examine patients or order, perform, and interpret diagnostic tests to obtain information on medical condition and determine diagnosis | 11% | 3% to 25% | |
| Advise patients, parents or guardians, and community members concerning diet, activity, hygiene, and disease prevention | 9% | 32% to 50% | |
| Explain procedures and discuss test results or prescribed treatments with patients and parents or guardians | 7% | 54% to 61% | |
| Monitor patients' conditions and progress and reevaluate treatments as necessary | 6% | 36% to 68% |
The skills this job runs on
The skills pediatricians, general use most, most used first.
Safer jobs nearby
Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.
- Hospitalists41% of tasks by 2035 · US median $265,930
- Sports Medicine Physicians42% of tasks by 2035 · US median $265,930
- Psychiatric Technicians32% of tasks by 2035 · US median $45,130
- Orthodontists40% of tasks by 2035 · US median $289,140
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Questions
When will machines do half of the tasks of Pediatricians, General?
Machines can do half of its tasks by 2038. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.
Will AI take the job of pediatricians, general?
Machines can do 24% of the tasks of pediatricians, general today and 43% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.
Sources and citing
Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 29-1221.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.
Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Pediatricians, General: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/pediatricians-general/