Security Managers
Machines can already do 37% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 60%. The job changes before it disappears.
Share of the work machines can do
Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050
Security Managers in 2026: the short answer
- Today: machines can do 37% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 13% of them.
- Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2031, and 60% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
- Size: 156,180 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $106,660 a year.
- Contact with people: it scores 76% for contact with people.
- Also called: Corporate Physical Security Supervisor, Corporate Security Manager, Judicial Office Security Director, Physical Security Manager.
Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.
How the work changes, task by task
The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.
| Task | Share of the day | Machines can do | 2026 to 2035 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plan, direct, or coordinate security activities to safeguard company employees, guests, or others on company property | 12% | 22% to 48% | |
| Supervise or provide leadership to subordinate security professionals, performing activities such as hiring, investigating applicants' backgrounds, training, assigning work, evaluating performance, or disciplining | 12% | 18% to 38% | |
| Identify, investigate, or resolve security breaches | 6% | 84% to 97% | |
| Monitor security policies, programs or procedures to ensure compliance with internal security policies, or applicable government security requirements, policies, and directives | 6% | 25% to 55% | |
| Communicate security status, updates, and actual or potential problems, using established protocols | 6% | 40% to 68% | |
| Analyze and evaluate security operations to identify risks or opportunities for improvement through auditing, review, or assessment | 5% | 84% to 97% | |
| Create or implement security standards, policies, and procedures | 5% | 30% to 54% | |
| Write or review security-related documents, such as incident reports, proposals, and tactical or strategic initiatives | 5% | 81% to 97% |
The skills this job runs on
The skills security managers use most, most used first.
Safer jobs nearby
Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.
- Chief Human Resources Officers57% of tasks by 2035
- Retail Loss Prevention Specialists59% of tasks by 2035 · US median $42,540
- Chief Medical Officers55% of tasks by 2035
- Chief Legal Officers53% of tasks by 2035
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Questions
When will machines do half of the tasks of Security Managers?
Machines can do half of its tasks by 2031. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.
Will AI take the job of security managers?
Machines can do 37% of the tasks of security managers today and 60% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.
Sources and citing
Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 11-3013.01 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.
Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Security Managers: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/security-managers/