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US job code 51-2041High change by 2035

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters

Machines can already do 22% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 61%. The job changes before it disappears.

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Share of the work machines can do

Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050

100%75%50%25%20262035205022%Half: 2033

Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters in 2026: the short answer

  • Today: machines can do 22% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 0% of them.
  • Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2033, and 61% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
  • Size: 52,360 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $51,330 a year.
  • Contact with people: it scores 63% for contact with people.
  • Also called: Fabricator, Fitter, Layout Man, Metal Fabricator.

Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.

Machines can do today
22%of the tasks, 2026
By 2035
61%half the tasks by 2033
US median pay
$51,330a year, May 2025
US jobs
52k52,360 people
Contact with people
63%how people-facing
Step 1AnticipateWhat is changing? Free to everyone

How the work changes, task by task

The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.

TaskShare of the dayMachines can do2026 to 2035
Position, align, fit, and weld parts to form complete units or subunits, following blueprints and layout specifications, and using jigs, welding torches, and hand tools17%
20% to 60%
Tack-weld fitted parts together10%
20% to 60%
Set up and operate fabricating machines, such as brakes, rolls, shears, flame cutters, grinders, and drill presses, to bend, cut, form, punch, drill, or otherwise form and assemble metal components9%
20% to 60%
Verify conformance of workpieces to specifications, using squares, rulers, and measuring tapes6%
20% to 60%
Study engineering drawings and blueprints to determine materials requirements and task sequences6%
55% to 85%
Lay out and examine metal stock or workpieces to be processed to ensure that specifications are met6%
20% to 60%
Move parts into position, manually or with hoists or cranes6%
20% to 60%
Position or tighten braces, jacks, clamps, ropes, or bolt straps, or bolt parts in position for welding or riveting6%
20% to 60%
Step 2AssessWhy should I care? Free to everyone

The skills this job runs on

The skills structural metal fabricators and fitters use most, most used first.

Physical and manualProfessionalism and work ethicAnalysis and dataTrade crafts

Safer jobs nearby

Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.

Step 3ActWhat do I do about it? Free plan and up
What do I do about it

What should you do about it?

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Questions

When will machines do half of the tasks of Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters?

Machines can do half of its tasks by 2033. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.

Will AI take the job of structural metal fabricators and fitters?

Machines can do 22% of the tasks of structural metal fabricators and fitters today and 61% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.

Sources and citing

Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 51-2041.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.

Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/structural-metal-fabricators-and-fitters/