Skip to main content
AskVantage

AI and intelligence

A teenagers revolutionary algorithm busted quantum computings greatest promise

Quantum computers promise amazing performance gains over classical computers, but a new algorithm just put the ball back in the classical computer's court.

Key takeaways

  • A teenager from Texas has single handedly taken one of the biggest advances promised by the first generation of quantum computers down a notch, a big notch.
  • In a paper posted online earlier this month, 18 year old Ewin Tang proved that ordinary computers can solve an important computing problem with performance that rivals that promised by quantum computers.
  • In 2014, at age 14 and after skipping the fourth through sixth grades, Tang enrolled at UT Austin and majored in mathematics and computer science.
Cite or link to this article

Griffin, M. (2018) 'A teenagers revolutionary algorithm busted quantum computings greatest promise', 311 Institute, 9 September. Available at: https://www.311institute.com/revolutionary-algorithm-just-busted-quantum-computings-greatest-promise/ (Accessed: 1 October 2026).

A teenager from Texas has single handedly taken one of the biggest advances promised by the first generation of quantum computers down a notch, a big notch. In a paper posted online earlier this month, 18 year old Ewin Tang proved that ordinary computers can solve an important computing problem with performance that rivals that promised by quantum computers.

In its most practical form, the so called “recommendation problem” relates to how services like Amazon and Netflix determine which products you might like to try. Computer scientists had considered it to be one of the best examples of a problem that’s exponentially faster to solve on quantum computers, making it an important validation of the power of these futuristic machines. Now Tang has stripped that validation away.

“This was one of the most definitive examples of a quantum speedup, and it’s no longer there,” said Tang, who graduated from the University of Texas, Austin, in spring and will begin a Ph.D. at the University of Washington in the fall.

In 2014, at age 14 and after skipping the fourth through sixth grades, Tang enrolled at UT Austin and majored in mathematics and computer science. In the spring of 2017 Tang took a class on quantum information taught by Scott Aaronson, a prominent researcher in quantum computing. Aaronson recognized Tang as an unusually talented student and offered himself as adviser on an independent research project. Aaronson gave Tang a handful of problems to choose from, including the recommendation problem. Tang chose it somewhat reluctantly.

“I was hesitant because it seemed like a hard problem when I looked at it, but it was the easiest of the problems he gave me,” Tang said.

The recommendation problem is designed to give a recommendation for products that users will like. Consider the case of Netflix. It knows what films you’ve watched. It knows what all of its other millions of users have watched. Given this information, what are you likely to want to watch next?

You can think of this data as being arranged in a giant grid, or matrix, with movies listed across the top, users listed down the side, and values at points in the grid quantifying whether, or to what extent, each user likes each film, the same type of matrix analysis that researchers elsewhere created a new “revolutionary” quantum machine learning algorithm for a few months ago that was the focus of another of my articles. A good algorithm would generate recommendations by quickly and accurately recognizing similarities between movies and users and filling in the blanks in the matrix.

In 2016 the computer scientists Iordanis Kerenidis and Anupam Prakash published a quantum algorithm that solved the recommendation problem exponentially faster than any known classical algorithm. They achieved this quantum speedup in part by simplifying the problem: Instead of filling out the entire matrix and identifying the single best product to recommend, they developed a way of sorting users into a small number of categories, do they like blockbusters or indie films? And sampling the existing data in order to generate a recommendation that was simply good enough.

At the time of Kerenidis and Prakash’s work, there were only a few examples of problems that quantum computers seemed to be able to solve exponentially faster than classical computers. Most of those examples were specialized, they were narrow problems designed to play to the strengths of quantum computers. Kerenidis and Prakash’s result was exciting because it provided a real world problem people cared about where quantum computers outperformed classical ones.

“To my sense it was one of the first examples in machine learning and big data where we showed quantum computers can do something that we still don’t know how to do classically,” said Kerenidis, a computer scientist at the Research Institute on the Foundations of Computer Science in France.

Kerenidis and Prakash proved that a quantum computer could solve the recommendation problem exponentially faster than any known algorithm, but they didn’t prove that a fast classical algorithm couldn’t exist. So when Aaronson began working with Tang in 2017, that was the question he posed, prove there is no fast classical recommendation algorithm, and thereby confirm Kerenidis and Prakash’s quantum speedup is real.

“That seemed to me like an important ‘t’ to cross to complete this story,” said Aaronson, who believed at the time that no fast classical algorithm existed.

Tang set to work in the fall of 2017, intending for the recommendation problem to serve as a senior thesis. For several months Tang struggled to prove that a fast classical algorithm was impossible. As time went on, Tang started to think that maybe such an algorithm was possible after all.

“I started believing there is a fast classical algorithm, but I couldn’t really prove it to myself because Scott seemed to think there wasn’t one, and he was the authority,” Tang said.

Finally, with the senior thesis deadline bearing down, Tang wrote to Aaronson and admitted a growing suspicion: “Tang wrote to me saying, actually, ‘I think there is a fast classical algorithm,’” Aaronson said.

Throughout the spring Tang wrote up the results and worked with Aaronson to clarify some steps in the proof. The fast classical algorithm Tang found was directly inspired by the fast quantum algorithm Kerenidis and Prakash had found two years earlier. Tang showed that the kind of quantum sampling techniques they used in their algorithm could be replicated in a classical setting. Like Kerenidis and Prakash’s algorithm, Tang’s algorithm ran in polylogarithmic time, meaning the computational time scaled with the logarithm of characteristics like the number of users and products in the data set, and was exponentially faster than any previously known classical algorithm.

Once Tang had completed the algorithm, Aaronson wanted to be sure it was correct before releasing it publicly. “I was still nervous that once Tang put the paper online, if it’s wrong, the first big paper of [Tang’s] career would go splat,” Aaronson said.

Aaronson had been planning to attend a quantum computing workshop at the University of California Berkeley, in June. Many of the biggest names in the field were going to be there, including Kerenidis and Prakash. Aaronson invited Tang to come out to Berkeley to informally present his algorithm in the days after the official conference ended.

On the mornings of June 18 and 19 Tang gave two lectures while fielding questions from the audience. By the end of four hours, a consensus emerged: Tang’s classical algorithm seemed correct. What many people in the room didn’t realise, however, was just how young the speaker was.

“I did not know Ewin was 18, and I certainly did not get that from the talk. To me [Ewin] was someone who was giving a very mature talk,” Kerenidis said. The algorithm now faces a formal peer review before publication.

For quantum computing, Tang’s result is a setback. Or not. Tang has eliminated one of the clearest, best examples of a quantum advantage. At the same time, Tang’s paper is further evidence of the fruitful interplay between the study of quantum and classical algorithms.

“Tang is killing [Kerenidis and Prakash’s] quantum speedup, but then in another sense Tang is giving a big improvement and building on what they did. Tang never would have come up with this classical algorithm but for their quantum algorithm,” Aaronson said.

311 Intelligence

What this means for your organisation

Quantum advantage can vanish.

A problem thought to need quantum computers now runs well on ordinary ones. Promised gains can disappear with a better algorithm. Challenge vendors on their claimed advantages.

Classical methods keep improving.

Research on algorithms keeps raising the bar quantum must beat. Investment cases should compare against the best classical tools. Fund algorithm work alongside quantum pilots.

Talent can come from anywhere.

A young student overturned a key assumption in the field. Fresh minds can see past accepted wisdom. Give new talent hard problems to tackle.

Three questions for your next leadership meeting

  1. Have we tested our quantum plans against the best classical methods?
  2. Which vendor claims of quantum advantage should we challenge?
  3. How do we give fresh talent our hardest problems?

The trends and technologies behind this story

From the 311 Starburst, the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit’s map of the technologies and trends shaping the next 50 years.

Bring this to your leadership teamA private executive briefing or leadership workshop, tailored to your sector. In person first, anywhere in the world.
Book a Briefing

Analysis by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit, from Matthew Griffin’s article and 311 data. First published on Fanatical Futurist.

FAQ

Why does this matter?

Quantum computers promise amazing performance gains over classical computers, but a new algorithm just put the ball back in the classical computer's court.

Matthew Griffin

About the author

Matthew Griffin Founder, 311 Institute

Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath."

Read full bio

Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath." 17-time best selling author of the "Codex of the Future" series, Matthew is the Founder and Futurist in Chief of the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures advisory firm working with royal households, world leaders, G7, G20, and G77 governments, NGOs, and multi-national mid and mega cap firms to help them explore, shape, and lead the next 50 years of business and society.

An award-winning YouTube creator with over a million followers, with an unrivalled global reach and impact, Matthew is a highly sought-after international keynote speaker, lecturer, and mentor who collaborates with global leaders through the United Nations Alliance of Civilizations (UNAOC) and United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) to shape pivotal initiatives such as the UN’s AI for Humanity program, the United Nations Conference of the Parties (UN COP), and the World Economic Forum in Davos.

As the former Global Head of Cloud, National Security, and Enterprise Sales for companies including Atos, Dell-EMC, and IBM, Matthew has a proven track record of building multi-billion dollar business units and turning failing divisions into market leaders. His ability to identify, analyse, and communicate the implications of hundreds of emerging technologies and trends is unparalleled, and his insights are trusted by many of the world’s most respected organisations, including ABB, Accenture, Adidas, AON, ARM, BCG, Centrica, Citi, Coca-Cola, Dentons, Deloitte, Dow Jones, EY, Google, KPMG, Lego, Legal & General, LinkedIn, Microsoft, PepsiCo, Qualcomm, RWE, Samsung, Siemens AG and Siemens Energy, T-Mobile, UBS, VISA, Walmart, Workday, Worldpay and many others.

Regularly featured in the global media including the AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, Forbes, Khaleej Times, Telegraph, TIME, ViacomCBS, WIRED, and the WSJ, Matthews mission is to help organisations create a fair and sustainable future whose benefits are shared by everyone irrespective of their ability, background, or circumstances.

What future do you need to see?

Choose one to get started on AI and intelligence and the future of your organisation.

Where should Matthew reply?

Takes 30 seconds. No obligation. Matthew replies quickly. Privacy

Tag Cloud

Dossier opens the 311 Starburst dossier for that technology or trend.

Sources and further reading

  1. 1807.04271 arxiv.org
  2. promised by quantum computer quantamagazine.org
  3. Scott Aaronson scottaaronson.com
  4. published a quantum algorithm arxiv.org
  5. Research Institute on the Foundations of Computer Science irif.fr
  6. quantum computing workshop simons.berkeley.edu

Source: first published by the 311 Institute on 9 September 2018. Cite as: Griffin, M. (2018). A teenagers revolutionary algorithm busted quantum computings greatest promise. 311 Institute. https://www.311institute.com/revolutionary-algorithm-just-busted-quantum-computings-greatest-promise/

You are welcome to quote this article with credit and a link to the original.

Book a Keynote