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Clingendael (Netherlands Institute of International Relations)

The Netherlands Institute of International Relations, an independent think tank and diplomatic academy researching security, geopolitics and EU affairs, partly for the Dutch government.

Tier 2Organisation · Non-profit or think tankThe Hague, NetherlandsStrategic & country intelligenceAlso in the Foresight Atlas

At a glance

Entity level
Organisation
Type
Non-profit or think tank
Also known as
Netherlands Institute of International Relations
Flagship output
Geostrategisch Perspectief (Geostrategic Perspective) (latest: Geostrategisch Perspectief 2026 to 2040, January 2026)
Category
Strategic & country intelligence
Also covers
Systemic & global risk reports
Tier
Tier 2: Leading Dutch international-relations institute; recurring government-commissioned strategic foresight
Headquarters
The Hague, Netherlands
Coverage
Global security, geopolitics, EU, Russia/Ukraine, conflict, strategic foresight
Public access
Free
Latest activity seen
Jan 2026
Evidence
Verified

How it produces intelligence

Strategic foresight: trend analysis, horizon scanning, expert scenario sessions and serious gaming; e.g. eight scenarios on two axes to 2040.

Risk themes

GeopoliticsConflict & securityGovernance & fragilityFinancial stabilityClimate & environment

Focus regions

GlobalEurope

Leadership

  • Koen Aartsma, Senior Research Fellow; head of Strategic Foresight & Intelligence programme (lead author, Geostrategic Perspective)

Links

What it publishes

OutputTypeCadenceLatest editionDate
Geostrategisch Perspectief (Geostrategic Perspective)Annual outlookAnnualGeostrategisch Perspectief 2026 to 2040Jan 2026Read report
Clingendael Strategic MonitorAnnual outlookAnnualStrategische Monitor 2025 to 20302025Visit site
Clingendael AlertsOtherIrregularVisit site

Latest findings

Recent public risk calls by Clingendael (Netherlands Institute of International Relations), summarised in our own words. They are its views, not 311's. Follow each source for the original.

  • Treats multipolarity as an open uncertainty rather than a given; how far middle powers cooperate is the other key unknown to 2040.

    Jan 2026 · Horizon: to 2040 · Source: Geostrategisch Perspectief 2026 to 2040
  • Identifies seven driving trends, including fragmentation of the world economy and finance, pressure on legal orders, and intensifying hybrid conflict.

    Jan 2026 · Horizon: to 2040 · Source: Geostrategisch Perspectief 2026 to 2040
  • Argues NATO and EU membership do not shield the Netherlands from power politics; its open economy and pension funds are highly exposed to economic fragmentation.

    Jan 2026 · Horizon: to 2040 · Source: Geostrategisch Perspectief 2026 to 2040
  • Hedging and multi-alignment are becoming core tools for middle powers; being strategically indispensable is efficient but fragile.

    Jan 2026 · Horizon: to 2040 · Source: Geostrategisch Perspectief 2026 to 2040

Questions about Clingendael (Netherlands Institute of International Relations)

What is Clingendael (Netherlands Institute of International Relations)?

The Netherlands Institute of International Relations, an independent think tank and diplomatic academy researching security, geopolitics and EU affairs, partly for the Dutch government.

How does Clingendael (Netherlands Institute of International Relations) produce its intelligence?

Strategic foresight: trend analysis, horizon scanning, expert scenario sessions and serious gaming; e.g. eight scenarios on two axes to 2040.

Where is Clingendael (Netherlands Institute of International Relations) based?

Clingendael (Netherlands Institute of International Relations) is based in The Hague, Netherlands.

What does Clingendael (Netherlands Institute of International Relations) cover?

Its work covers geopolitics, conflict & security, governance & fragility, financial stability, climate & environment, with a focus on Global, Europe.

Profile compiled by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit from public sources. Last checked 21 Oct 2026. Listing is not a ranking or an endorsement. Evidence source. Is this your organisation? Request a correction.