Geopolitical Futures
US geopolitical analysis company founded by George Friedman. It forecasts geopolitics using a geography-and-constraints framework for subscribers.
At a glance
- Entity level
- Organisation
- Type
- Company (private)
- Also known as
- GPF
- Flagship output
- Annual Forecast (latest: 2026 Forecast, January 2026)
- Category
- Geopolitical & political risk
- Also covers
- Strategic & country intelligence
- Tier
- Tier 2: Well-known geopolitical forecasting publisher founded by George Friedman; annual forecasts
- Headquarters
- Austin, United States
- Coverage
- Global geopolitics, great powers, long-range forecasting
- Public access
- Freemium
- Latest activity seen
- 26 Jan 2026
- Evidence
- Verified
How it produces intelligence
Small analyst team applying geopolitical-constraints analysis; annual and decade forecasts plus daily commentary.
Risk themes
Focus regions
Leadership
- George Friedman, Founder
Links
What it publishes
| Output | Type | Cadence | Latest edition | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual Forecast | Annual outlook | Annual | 2026 Forecast | Jan 2026 | Read report |
| Daily analysis | Daily/weekly briefing | Daily | Read report |
Latest findings
Recent public risk calls by Geopolitical Futures, summarised in our own words. They are its views, not 311's. Follow each source for the original.
Friedman expects a US, China détente in 2026, with tariffs eased and military tensions reduced because neither can afford open conflict.
26 Jan 2026 · Horizon: 2026 · Source: Big Time Change (Advisor Perspectives, John Mauldin)Sees a possible US, China compromise over Taiwan, leading to a bipolar order without economic or military confrontation.
26 Jan 2026 · Horizon: 2026 onward · Source: Big Time Change (Advisor Perspectives, John Mauldin)Judges Iran's opposition too fragmented to mount a successful challenge to the government.
26 Jan 2026 · Horizon: 2026 · Source: Big Time Change (Advisor Perspectives, John Mauldin)
Organisations doing similar work
Questions about Geopolitical Futures
What is Geopolitical Futures?
US geopolitical analysis company founded by George Friedman. It forecasts geopolitics using a geography-and-constraints framework for subscribers.
How does Geopolitical Futures produce its intelligence?
Small analyst team applying geopolitical-constraints analysis; annual and decade forecasts plus daily commentary.
Where is Geopolitical Futures based?
Geopolitical Futures is based in Austin, United States.
What does Geopolitical Futures cover?
Its work covers geopolitics, conflict & security, macroeconomy, with a focus on Global.
Profile compiled by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit from public sources. Last checked 21 Oct 2026. Listing is not a ranking or an endorsement. Evidence source. Is this your organisation? Request a correction.