VIEWS (Violence and Impacts Early-Warning System)
An academic early-warning system that publishes monthly forecasts of where armed conflict and battle deaths are likely, for researchers, governments and humanitarian agencies.
At a glance
- Entity level
- Programme or dataset
- Type
- Programme of a non-profit
- Part of
- PRIO and Uppsala University
- Also known as
- VIEWS
- Flagship output
- VIEWS conflict forecasts (latest: 2026 annual outlook, 2025)
- Category
- Risk event data & monitoring
- Tier
- Tier 2: Leading academic conflict-forecasting system; monthly public forecasts cited by humanitarians and media.
- Headquarters
- Oslo, Norway
- Coverage
- Global monthly forecasts of state-based conflict deaths by country and sub-national area, up to three years ahead.
- Public access
- Free
- Latest activity seen
- 10 Dec 2025
- Evidence
- Active in 2025 to 26
How it produces intelligence
Machine-learning forecasting models trained on conflict-event and structural data, issuing monthly forecasts up to 36 months ahead.
Risk themes
Focus regions
Leadership
- Håvard Hegre, Research Professor, PRIO; VIEWS team lead
Links
What it publishes
| Output | Type | Cadence | Latest edition | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIEWS conflict forecasts | Forecast platform | Monthly | 2026 annual outlook | 2025 | Read report |
Latest findings
Recent public risk calls by VIEWS (Violence and Impacts Early-Warning System), summarised in our own words. They are its views, not 311's. Follow each source for the original.
Ukraine is forecast to remain the deadliest conflict in 2026, with a central estimate of about 28,300 state-based battle deaths.
10 Dec 2025 · Horizon: 2026 · Source: ReliefWeb: AI model warns of deadliest conflict zones in 2026Palestine/Israel (about 7,700) and Sudan (about 4,300) follow, with Sudan's forecast more than doubling in a single month.
10 Dec 2025 · Horizon: 2026 · Source: ReliefWeb: AI model warns of deadliest conflict zones in 2026Pakistan, Nigeria, Ethiopia, Somalia, Syria, Yemen and Burkina Faso complete the top ten, each forecast at roughly 1,200 to 2,000 battle deaths.
10 Dec 2025 · Horizon: 2026 · Source: ReliefWeb: AI model warns of deadliest conflict zones in 2026
Organisations doing similar work
Questions about VIEWS (Violence and Impacts Early-Warning System)
What is VIEWS (Violence and Impacts Early-Warning System)?
An academic early-warning system that publishes monthly forecasts of where armed conflict and battle deaths are likely, for researchers, governments and humanitarian agencies.
How does VIEWS (Violence and Impacts Early-Warning System) produce its intelligence?
Machine-learning forecasting models trained on conflict-event and structural data, issuing monthly forecasts up to 36 months ahead.
Where is VIEWS (Violence and Impacts Early-Warning System) based?
VIEWS (Violence and Impacts Early-Warning System) is based in Oslo, Norway.
What does VIEWS (Violence and Impacts Early-Warning System) cover?
Its work covers conflict & security, geopolitics, governance & fragility, with a focus on Global.
Profile compiled by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit from public sources. Last checked 21 Oct 2026. Listing is not a ranking or an endorsement. Evidence source. Is this your organisation? Request a correction.