Actuaries
Machines can already do 39% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 65%. The job changes before it disappears.
Share of the work machines can do
Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050
Actuaries in 2026: the short answer
- Today: machines can do 39% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 5% of them.
- Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2030, and 65% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
- Size: 26,670 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $130,000 a year.
- Contact with people: it scores 55% for contact with people.
- Also called: Actuarial Analyst, Actuarial Associate, Actuarial Consultant, Actuary.
Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.
How the work changes, task by task
The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.
| Task | Share of the day | Machines can do | 2026 to 2035 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Analyze statistical information to estimate mortality, accident, sickness, disability, and retirement rates | 20% | 60% to 90% | |
| Design, review, and help administer insurance, annuity and pension plans, determining financial soundness and calculating premiums | 16% | 10% to 30% | |
| Collaborate with programmers, underwriters, accounts, claims experts, and senior management to help companies develop plans for new lines of business or improvements to existing business | 15% | 30% to 60% | |
| Analyze data to determine premium rates required and cash reserves and liabilities necessary to ensure payment of future benefits | 13% | 43% to 70% | |
| Determine, or help determine, company policy, and explain complex technical matters to company executives, government officials, shareholders, policyholders, or the public | 11% | 35% to 65% | |
| Provide advice to clients on a contract basis, working as a consultant | 9% | 69% to 89% | |
| Construct probability tables for events such as fires, natural disasters, and unemployment, based on analysis of statistical data and other pertinent information | 5% | 60% to 90% | |
| Determine policy contract provisions for each type of insurance | 3% | 10% to 30% |
The skills this job runs on
The skills actuaries use most, most used first.
Safer jobs nearby
Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.
- Cost Estimators63% of tasks by 2035 · US median $78,740
- Economics Teachers, Postsecondary62% of tasks by 2035 · US median $123,920
- Chief Financial Officers64% of tasks by 2035
- Chief Information Security Officers64% of tasks by 2035
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Questions
When will machines do half of the tasks of Actuaries?
Machines can do half of its tasks by 2030. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.
Will AI take the job of actuaries?
Machines can do 39% of the tasks of actuaries today and 65% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.
Sources and citing
Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 15-2011.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.
Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Actuaries: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/actuaries/