Administrative Services Managers
Machines can already do 31% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 55%. The job changes before it disappears.
Share of the work machines can do
Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050
Administrative Services Managers in 2026: the short answer
- Today: machines can do 31% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 0% of them.
- Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2032, and 55% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
- Size: 263,960 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $114,130 a year.
- Contact with people: it scores 77% for contact with people.
- Also called: Administrative Coordinator, Administrative Director, Administrative Manager, Administrative Officer.
Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.
How the work changes, task by task
The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.
| Task | Share of the day | Machines can do | 2026 to 2035 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Direct or coordinate the supportive services department of a business, agency, or organization | 12% | 10% to 27% | |
| Supervise administrative staff and provide training and orientation to new staff | 10% | 10% to 27% | |
| Prepare and review operational reports and schedules to ensure accuracy and efficiency | 8% | 70% to 95% | |
| Plan, administer, and control budgets for contracts, equipment, and supplies | 7% | 10% to 27% | |
| Communicate with and provide guidance for external vendors and service providers to ensure the organization, department, or work unit's business needs are met | 7% | 25% to 50% | |
| Meet with other departmental leaders to establish organizational goals, strategic plans, and objectives, as well as make decisions about personnel, resources, and space or equipment needs | 7% | 30% to 54% | |
| Analyze internal processes and recommend and implement procedural or policy changes to improve operations, such as supply changes or the disposal of records | 6% | 48% to 78% | |
| Manage paper or electronic filing systems by recording information, updating paperwork, or maintaining documents, such as attendance records or correspondence | 6% | 48% to 68% |
The skills this job runs on
The skills administrative services managers use most, most used first.
Safer jobs nearby
Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.
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- Chief Operating Officers50% of tasks by 2035
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Questions
When will machines do half of the tasks of Administrative Services Managers?
Machines can do half of its tasks by 2032. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.
Will AI take the job of administrative services managers?
Machines can do 31% of the tasks of administrative services managers today and 55% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.
Sources and citing
Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 11-3012.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.
Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Administrative Services Managers: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/administrative-services-managers/