Bicycle Repairers
Machines can already do 17% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 48%. The job changes before it disappears.
Share of the work machines can do
Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050
Bicycle Repairers in 2026: the short answer
- Today: machines can do 17% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 0% of them.
- Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2036, and 48% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
- Size: 12,170 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $42,780 a year.
- Contact with people: it scores 86% for contact with people.
- Also called: Bicycle Fitter, Bicycle Mechanic, Bicycle Repair Technician, Bicycle Repairman.
Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.
How the work changes, task by task
The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.
| Task | Share of the day | Machines can do | 2026 to 2035 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Install and adjust speed and gear mechanisms | 10% | 3% to 30% | |
| Assemble new bicycles | 10% | 3% to 30% | |
| Install and adjust brakes and brake pads | 9% | 3% to 30% | |
| Estimate costs of repairing bicycles and write service tickets | 9% | 48% to 78% | |
| Install new tires and tubes | 8% | 3% to 30% | |
| Install, repair, and replace equipment or accessories, such as handlebars, stands, lights, and seats | 8% | 3% to 30% | |
| Clean and lubricate bicycle parts | 8% | 20% to 60% | |
| Sell bicycles and accessories | 7% | 25% to 50% |
The skills this job runs on
The skills bicycle repairers use most, most used first.
Safer jobs nearby
Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.
- Outdoor Power Equipment and Other Small Engine Mechanics47% of tasks by 2035 · US median $47,880
- Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians40% of tasks by 2035 · US median $52,000
- Musical Instrument Repairers and Tuners34% of tasks by 2035 · US median $46,420
- Motorcycle Mechanics37% of tasks by 2035 · US median $48,580
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Questions
When will machines do half of the tasks of Bicycle Repairers?
Machines can do half of its tasks by 2036. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.
Will AI take the job of bicycle repairers?
Machines can do 17% of the tasks of bicycle repairers today and 48% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.
Sources and citing
Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 49-3091.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.
Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Bicycle Repairers: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/bicycle-repairers/