Motorcycle Mechanics
Machines can already do 7% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 37%. The job changes before it disappears.
Share of the work machines can do
Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050
Motorcycle Mechanics in 2026: the short answer
- Today: machines can do 7% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 0% of them.
- Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2039, and 37% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
- Size: 13,510 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $48,580 a year.
- Contact with people: it scores 72% for contact with people.
- Also called: All Terrain Vehicle Technician (ATV Technician), Custom Bike Builder, Motorcycle Mechanic, Motorcycle Service Technician.
Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.
How the work changes, task by task
The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.
| Task | Share of the day | Machines can do | 2026 to 2035 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Replace defective parts, using hand tools, arbor presses, flexible power presses, or power tools | 14% | 3% to 30% | |
| Repair or adjust motorcycle subassemblies, such as forks, transmissions, brakes, or drive chains, according to specifications | 14% | 3% to 30% | |
| Dismantle engines and repair or replace defective parts, such as magnetos, carburetors, or generators | 11% | 3% to 30% | |
| Listen to engines, examine vehicle frames, or confer with customers to determine nature and extent of malfunction or damage | 11% | 20% to 60% | |
| Repair or replace other parts, such as headlights, horns, handlebar controls, gasoline or oil tanks, starters, or mufflers | 10% | 3% to 30% | |
| Mount, balance, change, or check condition or pressure of tires | 8% | 3% to 30% | |
| Disassemble subassembly units and examine condition, movement, or alignment of parts, visually or using gauges | 7% | 3% to 30% | |
| Connect test panels to engines and measure generator output, ignition timing, or other engine performance indicators | 6% | 20% to 60% |
The skills this job runs on
The skills motorcycle mechanics use most, most used first.
Safer jobs nearby
Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.
- Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists34% of tasks by 2035 · US median $61,770
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Questions
When will machines do half of the tasks of Motorcycle Mechanics?
Machines can do half of its tasks by 2039. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.
Will AI take the job of motorcycle mechanics?
Machines can do 7% of the tasks of motorcycle mechanics today and 37% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.
Sources and citing
Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 49-3052.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.
Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Motorcycle Mechanics: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/motorcycle-mechanics/