Skip to main content
AskVantage
US job code 15-1299.03Very high change by 2035

Document Management Specialists

Machines can already do 63% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 88%. Most of the work is changing now.

See It For Your CountryWatch This Job

Share of the work machines can do

Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050

100%75%50%25%20262035205063%

Document Management Specialists in 2026: the short answer

  • Today: machines can do 63% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 31% of them.
  • Forecast: machines can already do half of its tasks, and 88% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
  • Size: 435,370 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $116,580 a year.
  • Contact with people: it scores 63% for contact with people.
  • Also called: Business Records Manager, Certified Document Imaging Architect, Document Control Manager, Document Management Consultant.
  • Competency here means how well the best AI model, tool or robot available can do a task, scored out of 100: today using the best available now, and for later years the 311 prediction of what AI and robots will be able to do.

Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.

Machines can do today
63%of the tasks, 2026
By 2035
88%of the tasks
US median pay
$116,580a year, May 2025
US jobs
435k435,370 people
Contact with people
63%how people-facing
Step 1AnticipateWhat is changing? Free to everyone

How the work changes, task by task

The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.

TaskShare of the dayMachines can do2026 to 2035
Administer document and system access rights and revision control to ensure security of system and integrity of master documents9%
84% to 97%
Develop or configure document management system features, such as user interfaces, access profiles, and document workflow procedures8%
81% to 97%
Consult with end users regarding problems in accessing electronic content8%
35% to 65%
Identify and classify documents or other electronic content according to characteristics such as security level, function, and metadata7%
65% to 92%
Implement electronic document processing, retrieval, and distribution systems in collaboration with other information technology specialists5%
85% to 97%
Develop, document, or maintain standards, best practices, or system usage procedures5%
60% to 90%
Assist in determining document management policies to facilitate efficient, legal, and secure access to electronic content4%
50% to 85%
Assist in the development of document or content classification taxonomies to facilitate information capture, search, and retrieval4%
58% to 88%
Step 2AssessWhy should I care? Free to everyone

The skills this job runs on

The skills document management specialists use most, most used first.

Professionalism and work ethicMoral intelligence and integrityOperations and processIT and softwareTeaching and trainingManagementCommunicationLearning aptitude and mindsetInterpersonal skillsAnalysis and dataLegal knowledgeCollaborationCritical thinking and problem solvingSelf-management

Human value: what makes people in this job hard to replace

How much document management specialists rely on each one, from 0 to 10. 311 estimates, medium confidence.

  • Go-to problem solver6/10
  • Trust and reliability8/10
  • Know-how about the organisation9/10
  • Network and relationships5/10
  • Mentoring and developing others5/10
  • Culture and morale4/10
  • Initiative beyond the role5/10
  • Calm in a crisis4/10
  • Bridge between teams5/10
  • Reputation and influence4/10

Safer jobs nearby

Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.

Step 3ActWhat do I do about it? Free plan and up
What do I do about it

What should you do about it?

Open this job in the Workforce Starburst to see it for your country, then use these to act on it.

  • Watch This Job

    Get told when the outlook for this job changes.

    Free plan
  • Skills to learn next

    The skills that make this job, or the next one, last longer.

    In the Starburst
  • Check your readiness

    Ten quick questions on how ready you are.

    Free
  • Ask Vantage

    Ask what this job means for you and get a sourced answer.

    Free to ask
  • Futures Academy courses

    Courses matched to your gaps.

    Coming soon
  • Pay trend

    Where pay for this job is heading.

    Coming soon
  • Team plan

    Every role in your team, side by side, with a plan for each.

    Pro and Corporate
  • Shared workspace

    Work through it with your team, with notes and decisions kept.

    Pro and Corporate

Questions

When will machines do half of the tasks of Document Management Specialists?

Machines can already do half of its tasks. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.

Will AI take the job of document management specialists?

Machines can do 63% of the tasks of document management specialists today and 88% by 2035. Most of the routine work moves to machines, and the people in the job move to oversight, judgement and client work.

Sources and citing

Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 15-1299.03 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring, forecast and human value: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit (human value scores are 311 estimates, medium confidence); after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.

Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Document Management Specialists: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/document-management-specialists/