Mechanical Door Repairers
Machines can already do 19% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 52%. The job changes before it disappears.
Share of the work machines can do
Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050
Mechanical Door Repairers in 2026: the short answer
- Today: machines can do 19% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 0% of them.
- Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2035, and 52% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
- Size: 27,120 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $55,720 a year.
- Contact with people: it scores 73% for contact with people.
- Also called: Commercial Door Installer, Commercial Installer, Door Installer, Door Serviceman.
- Competency here means how well the best AI model, tool or robot available can do a task, scored out of 100: today using the best available now, and for later years the 311 prediction of what AI and robots will be able to do.
Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.
How the work changes, task by task
The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.
| Task | Share of the day | Machines can do | 2026 to 2035 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Repair or replace worn or broken door parts, using hand tools | 22% | 3% to 30% | |
| Install door frames, rails, steel rolling curtains, electronic-eye mechanisms, or electric door openers and closers, using power tools, hand tools, and electronic test equipment | 14% | 3% to 30% | |
| Adjust doors to open or close with the correct amount of effort, or make simple adjustments to electric openers | 8% | 20% to 60% | |
| Complete required paperwork, such as work orders, according to services performed or required | 7% | 70% to 95% | |
| Set doors into place or stack hardware sections into openings after rail or track installation | 6% | 20% to 60% | |
| Assemble and fasten tracks to structures or bucks, using impact wrenches or welding equipment | 6% | 20% to 60% | |
| Wind large springs with upward motion of arm | 4% | 20% to 60% | |
| Inspect job sites, assessing headroom, side room, or other conditions to determine appropriateness of door for a given location | 4% | 20% to 60% |
The skills this job runs on
The skills mechanical door repairers use most, most used first.
Human value: what makes people in this job hard to replace
How much mechanical door repairers rely on each one, from 0 to 10. 311 estimates, medium confidence.
- Go-to problem solver5/10
- Trust and reliability6/10
- Know-how about the organisation6/10
- Network and relationships4/10
- Mentoring and developing others2/10
- Culture and morale4/10
- Initiative beyond the role3/10
- Calm in a crisis4/10
- Bridge between teams4/10
- Reputation and influence2/10
Safer jobs nearby
Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.
- Bicycle Repairers48% of tasks by 2035 · US median $42,780
- Electricians50% of tasks by 2035 · US median $63,190
- Roofers46% of tasks by 2035 · US median $55,440
- Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters50% of tasks by 2035 · US median $63,800
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Questions
When will machines do half of the tasks of Mechanical Door Repairers?
Machines can do half of its tasks by 2035. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.
Will AI take the job of mechanical door repairers?
Machines can do 19% of the tasks of mechanical door repairers today and 52% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.
Sources and citing
Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 49-9011.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring, forecast and human value: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit (human value scores are 311 estimates, medium confidence); after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.
Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Mechanical Door Repairers: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/mechanical-door-repairers/