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US job code 51-9195High change by 2035

Molders, Shapers, and Casters, Except Metal and Plastic

Machines can already do 20% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 59%. The job changes before it disappears.

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Share of the work machines can do

Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050

100%75%50%25%20262035205020%Half: 2033

Molders, Shapers, and Casters, Except Metal and Plastic in 2026: the short answer

  • Today: machines can do 20% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 0% of them.
  • Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2033, and 59% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
  • Size: 33,190 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $46,170 a year.
  • Contact with people: it scores 59% for contact with people.
  • Also called: Bed Laborer, Caster, Injection Molding Machine Operator, Machine Operator.

Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.

Machines can do today
20%of the tasks, 2026
By 2035
59%half the tasks by 2033
US median pay
$46,170a year, May 2025
US jobs
33k33,190 people
Contact with people
59%how people-facing
Step 1AnticipateWhat is changing? Free to everyone

How the work changes, task by task

The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.

TaskShare of the dayMachines can do2026 to 2035
Pour, pack, spread, or press plaster, concrete, or other materials into or around models or molds15%
20% to 60%
Trim or remove excess material, using scrapers, knives, or band saws8%
20% to 60%
Measure ingredients and mix molding, casting material, or sealing compounds to prescribed consistencies, according to formulas8%
20% to 60%
Clean, finish, and lubricate molds and mold parts6%
20% to 60%
Separate models or patterns from molds and examine products for accuracy6%
20% to 60%
Load or stack filled molds in ovens, dryers, or curing boxes, or on storage racks or carts6%
20% to 60%
Brush or spray mold surfaces with parting agents or insert paper into molds to ensure smoothness and prevent sticking or seepage5%
20% to 60%
Remove excess materials and level and smooth wet mold mixtures5%
20% to 60%
Step 2AssessWhy should I care? Free to everyone

The skills this job runs on

The skills molders, shapers, and casters, except metal and plastic use most, most used first.

Physical and manualProfessionalism and work ethic

Safer jobs nearby

Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.

Step 3ActWhat do I do about it? Free plan and up
What do I do about it

What should you do about it?

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Questions

When will machines do half of the tasks of Molders, Shapers, and Casters, Except Metal and Plastic?

Machines can do half of its tasks by 2033. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.

Will AI take the job of molders, shapers, and casters, except metal and plastic?

Machines can do 20% of the tasks of molders, shapers, and casters, except metal and plastic today and 59% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.

Sources and citing

Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 51-9195.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.

Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Molders, Shapers, and Casters, Except Metal and Plastic: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/molders-shapers-and-casters-except-metal-and-plastic/