Training and Development Managers
Machines can already do 55% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 79%. Most of the work is changing now.
Share of the work machines can do
Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050
Training and Development Managers in 2026: the short answer
- Today: machines can do 55% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 38% of them.
- Forecast: machines can already do half of its tasks, and 79% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
- Size: 48,050 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $133,000 a year.
- Contact with people: it scores 66% for contact with people.
- Also called: Education and Development Manager, L and D Director (Learning and Development Director), Learning Manager, Organizational Development Manager (OD Manager).
Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.
How the work changes, task by task
The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.
| Task | Share of the day | Machines can do | 2026 to 2035 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plan, develop, and provide training and staff development programs, using knowledge of the effectiveness of methods such as classroom training, demonstrations, on-the-job training, meetings, conferences, and workshops | 19% | 76% to 96% | |
| Analyze training needs to develop new training programs or modify and improve existing programs | 12% | 79% to 97% | |
| Evaluate instructor performance and the effectiveness of training programs, providing recommendations for improvement | 11% | 76% to 96% | |
| Confer with management and conduct surveys to identify training needs based on projected production processes, changes, and other factors | 11% | 42% to 72% | |
| Develop and organize training manuals, multimedia visual aids, and other educational materials | 11% | 74% to 94% | |
| Conduct or arrange for ongoing technical training and personal development classes for staff members | 10% | 25% to 55% | |
| Conduct orientation sessions and arrange on-the-job training for new hires | 7% | 25% to 55% | |
| Train instructors and supervisors in techniques and skills for training and dealing with employees | 5% | 25% to 55% |
The skills this job runs on
The skills training and development managers use most, most used first.
Safer jobs nearby
Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.
- Training and Development Specialists69% of tasks by 2035 · US median $69,280
- Education Teachers, Postsecondary61% of tasks by 2035 · US median $75,350
- Instructional Coordinators59% of tasks by 2035 · US median $77,440
- Coaches and Scouts48% of tasks by 2035 · US median $47,320
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Questions
When will machines do half of the tasks of Training and Development Managers?
Machines can already do half of its tasks. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.
Will AI take the job of training and development managers?
Machines can do 55% of the tasks of training and development managers today and 79% by 2035. Most of the routine work moves to machines, and the people in the job move to oversight, judgement and client work.
Sources and citing
Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 11-3131.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.
Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Training and Development Managers: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/training-and-development-managers/