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US job code 51-4121High change by 2035

Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers

Machines can already do 22% of this job's tasks. By 2035 that rises to 61%. The job changes before it disappears.

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Share of the work machines can do

Worldwide baseline, 2026 to 2050

100%75%50%25%20262035205022%Half: 2033

Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers in 2026: the short answer

  • Today: machines can do 22% of this job's tasks, and AI use is already seen in 0% of them.
  • Forecast: machines can do half of its tasks by 2033, and 61% by 2035, according to the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.
  • Size: 416,210 people do this job in the United States, on a median pay of $53,750 a year.
  • Contact with people: it scores 59% for contact with people.
  • Also called: Assembly Line Brazer, Brazer, Fabrication Welder, Maintenance Welder.

Updated by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit. These are worldwide baseline figures; the Workforce Starburst shows them for your country. Go deeper: How ready am I? or an executive briefing.

Machines can do today
22%of the tasks, 2026
By 2035
61%half the tasks by 2033
US median pay
$53,750a year, May 2025
US jobs
416k416,210 people
Contact with people
59%how people-facing
Step 1AnticipateWhat is changing? Free to everyone

How the work changes, task by task

The tasks that take up most of the day, with the share of each that machines can do in 2026 (dark) and 2035 (pink). Worldwide baseline.

TaskShare of the dayMachines can do2026 to 2035
Weld components in flat, vertical, or overhead positions22%
20% to 60%
Align and clamp workpieces together, using rules, squares, or hand tools, or position items in fixtures, jigs, or vises6%
20% to 60%
Examine workpieces for defects and measure workpieces with straightedges or templates to ensure conformance with specifications5%
20% to 60%
Recognize, set up, and operate hand and power tools common to the welding trade, such as shielded metal arc and gas metal arc welding equipment5%
20% to 60%
Prepare all material surfaces to be welded, ensuring that there is no loose or thick scale, slag, rust, moisture, grease, or other foreign matter5%
20% to 60%
Weld separately or in combination, using aluminum, stainless steel, cast iron, and other alloys5%
20% to 60%
Chip or grind off excess weld, slag, or spatter, using hand scrapers or power chippers, portable grinders, or arc-cutting equipment5%
20% to 60%
Operate safety equipment and use safe work habits4%
20% to 60%
Step 2AssessWhy should I care? Free to everyone

The skills this job runs on

The skills welders, cutters, solderers, and brazers use most, most used first.

Professionalism and work ethicPhysical and manualProduction and making

Safer jobs nearby

Jobs with a similar skill shape where machines can do less of the work by 2035.

Step 3ActWhat do I do about it? Free plan and up
What do I do about it

What should you do about it?

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  • Team plan

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  • Shared workspace

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Questions

When will machines do half of the tasks of Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers?

Machines can do half of its tasks by 2033. That is the worldwide baseline from the 311 Workforce Starburst, before adjusting for country.

Will AI take the job of welders, cutters, solderers, and brazers?

Machines can do 22% of the tasks of welders, cutters, solderers, and brazers today and 61% by 2035. The job changes before it disappears: the routine tasks move first.

Sources and citing

Tasks and their share of the day: O*NET 31.0, occupation 51-4121.00 (US Department of Labor, CC BY 4.0). Pay and jobs: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2025. AI use today: Anthropic Economic Index (CC BY). Scoring and forecast: the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit; after 2035 the figures extend each trend, with lower confidence. Foresight, not advice.

Cite as: 311 Institute (2026). Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers: the outlook to 2050. 311 Workforce Starburst. https://www.311institute.com/jobs/welders-cutters-solderers-and-brazers/