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Company briefing Updated 30 September 2026

Microsoft

What Microsoft is building, buying and planning, and what it will likely do next.

Headquarters
Redmond, Washington, USA
Founded
1975
Chair and CEO
Satya Nadella
Sector
Software, cloud and AI

A 311 Institute briefing. Trusted by leaders at Accenture · Adidas · Google · PepsiCo · Qualcomm · Samsung

Matthew Griffin

Organise your 311 Institute briefing on Microsoft

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01

Overview

The short version, then our scorecard.

In 60 seconds

  • It is betting on AI, with Copilot in Windows, Office, GitHub and Azure.
  • Azure made over $100B in FY2026.
  • It owns about 27% of OpenAI and is putting up to $5B into Anthropic.
  • It spends $35.6B a year on research across ten labs.

Why it matters

Most organisations run on Microsoft. As it adds AI, the way your people work will change.

Strong

Our reading Foresight

Strong in AI and cloud. Weaker in devices and gaming.

$331.8BRevenue, up 18%
$100B+Azure revenue
~27%of OpenAI

AI

Leading

AI business at a $37B annual run rate

Cloud

Leading

Azure revenue over $100B

Devices

Slowing

Windows and devices down 7% in Q4

Gaming

Under pressure

Xbox content and services down 10% in Q4

Productivity

Leading

30M+ paid Copilot seats

Quantum

Early

Promising, not yet proven at scale

Research

Growing

R&D spend $35.6B, up 9.5%

Green: leading or growingAmber: early or mixedRed: slowing or under pressureRatings are 311 Institute analysis; the evidence comes from Microsoft’s results.

02

News

A

Ask

We answer from our articles and link every source.

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B

Browse

Each dot is a story. Switch a row off to hide it.

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Transformational changes the industrySignificant a notable moveSignal an early sign of change
How we rate facts

Every fact has a label showing how well it is sourced. See the full source ledger.

03

R&D Trends

Where it researches, how much it spends and how that is changing.

Research labs. Tap a pin to see a lab.

RedmondCambridge, UKBeijingBengaluruCambridge, USNew YorkMontrealNairobiSanta Barbara

Research momentum, FY2022 to FY2026

Microsoft annual reports. Share of revenue and spend per R&D employee are calculated.

04

Investments

Pick a period, or press Play. Every card updates.

05

The Next Decade Foresight

Our view of what comes next. Use it to plan, not as a promise.

  1. AI agents do routine office work

    Copilot agents do scheduling, reports and analysis for most big customers.

  2. A portfolio of models

    Microsoft uses its own AI models as well as OpenAI’s and Anthropic’s.

  3. Quantum becomes useful

    Quantum computers start doing real work through the cloud.

  4. Creative machines at work

    AI helps create software, documents and media in everyday tools.

  5. Power becomes strategy

    Access to clean and nuclear power decides who wins in AI.

  6. The operating system for AI work

    Microsoft becomes where people and AI agents work together, as Windows was for the PC.

Base case

The AI work platform

It becomes the main place where AI agents work.

Upside

AI and quantum leader

Its AI matches the best and quantum opens new markets.

Downside

Squeezed in the middle

AI makers sell elsewhere, costs rise and rivals win.

Plan your next decade. Matthew Griffin runs sessions for boards on what this means for them.

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06

More

Ten quick briefings. Hover to pause.

Risks

What could go wrong

Hover or tap to open

Risks

  • AI costs can grow faster than AI sales
  • Since April 2026, rivals can sell OpenAI’s models too
  • Not enough power for new data centres
  • It relies on AI partners it does not control

311 Institute analysis Foresight

Regulation

The rules it must follow

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Regulation

  • Regulators check big AI and cloud deals
  • New AI laws shape how Copilot is sold
  • Data and security rules for its cloud
  • We track new rulings and laws

What we track

Leadership and People

Who runs Microsoft

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Leadership and People

  • Satya Nadella, chair and chief executive
  • Amy Hood, chief financial officer
  • Mustafa Suleyman, chief of Microsoft AI
  • We track senior hires and departures

Sources: Microsoft results; reporting Primary

Competitors and Peers

Who it competes with

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Competitors and Peers

  • Google: appears in 36 of our Microsoft articles
  • Amazon: 12 shared articles
  • Meta: 10 shared articles
  • IBM: 11 shared articles; Nvidia is partner and supplier (17)

Source: 311 Institute article tags

Products and Platforms

What it sells

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Products and Platforms

  • Microsoft 365 and Copilot
  • Azure cloud and AI services
  • Windows and devices
  • GitHub, LinkedIn, Dynamics 365 and Xbox

Source: Microsoft

Partners and Ecosystem

Who it builds with

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Partners and Ecosystem

  • OpenAI: about 27% stake
  • Anthropic: up to $5B, and a $30B Azure commitment
  • Nvidia: chips, and a co-investor in Anthropic
  • G42 and Mistral AI: strategic investments

Sources: Microsoft, CNBC Corroborated

Talent and Hiring Signals

Where it is hiring and cutting

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Talent and Hiring Signals

  • Research spending rose while research staff fell
  • It offered early retirement in 2026
  • It is spending heavily on AI talent and computers
  • Hiring shows where it is heading

Source: Microsoft filings, FY2026 Primary

Patents and Research Papers

Clues to what comes next

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Patents and Research Papers

  • Patent filings by technology field
  • Research papers from Microsoft Research labs
  • Which fields are growing fastest
  • Coming soon: live counts from our research feeds

In development

ESG and Energy

Power and climate

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ESG and Energy

  • Restarting the Three Mile Island reactor to power AI data centres
  • Green concrete data centres
  • Superconducting cabling to cut power losses
  • AI and critical thinking research

Source: 311 Institute articles

Reports and Filings

Where the numbers come from

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Reports and Filings

  • Annual report and 10-K, FY2026
  • Quarterly results, Q4 FY2026
  • 311 Institute: The Global AI Power Index 2026
  • The 311 Most Innovative Companies ranking (coming soon)

Sources: SEC, Microsoft, 311 Institute