Kalshi
A US-regulated exchange where users trade event contracts on outcomes such as elections, economic data and sport; prices act as crowd probability estimates.
At a glance
- Entity level
- Organisation
- Type
- Company (private)
- Flagship output
- Event contract markets
- Category
- Crowd forecasting & prediction markets
- Tier
- Tier 1: CFTC-regulated US event exchange; prices widely cited
- Headquarters
- New York, United States
- Coverage
- US politics, macro, events
- Public access
- Free
- Latest activity seen
- 16 Oct 2026
- Evidence
- Active in 2025 to 26
How it produces intelligence
Market prices from real-money event contracts; election portal combines polls, fundraising data and its own trading data.
Risk themes
Focus regions
Links
What it publishes
| Output | Type | Cadence | Latest edition | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Event contract markets | Forecast platform | Continuous | Read report | ||
| Midterm elections portal | Forecast platform | Continuous | 2026 US midterms | 22 Jul 2026 | Visit site |
Latest findings
Recent public risk calls by Kalshi, summarised in our own words. They are its views, not 311's. Follow each source for the original.
Kalshi markets priced Democrats at about 90% to win control of the US House in the November 2026 midterms.
16 Oct 2026 · Horizon: Nov 2026 · Source: 2026 midterm predictions (Kalshi News)Kalshi priced Democrats at about 63% to win the Senate, up from 44% in March and roughly 57% in September 2026.
16 Oct 2026 · Horizon: Nov 2026 · Source: 2026 midterm predictions (Kalshi News)
Organisations doing similar work
See every organisation in Crowd forecasting & prediction markets
Questions about Kalshi
What is Kalshi?
A US-regulated exchange where users trade event contracts on outcomes such as elections, economic data and sport; prices act as crowd probability estimates.
How does Kalshi produce its intelligence?
Market prices from real-money event contracts; election portal combines polls, fundraising data and its own trading data.
Where is Kalshi based?
Kalshi is based in New York, United States.
What does Kalshi cover?
Its work covers elections & politics, macroeconomy, regulation & policy, with a focus on North America, United States.
Profile compiled by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit from public sources. Last checked 21 Oct 2026. Listing is not a ranking or an endorsement. Evidence source. Is this your organisation? Request a correction.