Skip to main content
AskVantage
Keynote

The Future of Data and Energy Transmission

Invited by David Kiddo, CEO of IWCS, the International Wire & Cable Symposium, and the IWCS board to give a keynote at its 75th annual Cable & Connectivity Industry Forum in Orlando, Florida, to about 1,000 people from the wire, cable and connectivity industry, from Japan and China to the United States.

Book direct with Matthew’s team: we reply within one working day.

9.4/10Audience ratingRated by 32 attendees straight after the sessionIWCS
Orlando, November 2026

The slides

Only one thing is changing
02 · Only one thing is changing
2050: ten power paths
03 · 2050: ten power paths
You built for the future you saw
04 · You built for the future you saw
30%: strategic drift
05 · 30%: strategic drift
Not enough power stations
06 · Not enough power stations
Not enough grid connections
07 · Not enough grid connections
Not enough AI chips
08 · Not enough AI chips
Not enough fibre
09 · Not enough fibre
Not enough installers
10 · Not enough installers
Robots, fully autonomous
11 · Robots, fully autonomous
Optical fibre holds 60% of transmission patents
12 · Optical fibre holds 60% of transmission patents
China files four in five transmission patents
13 · China files four in five transmission patents
Accelerating acceleration
14 · Accelerating acceleration
Intelligence cost to 2040
15 · Intelligence cost to 2040
Knowledge generation to 2040
16 · Knowledge generation to 2040
Exponential technologies
17 · Exponential technologies
Physical output to 2040
18 · Physical output to 2040
Digital output to 2040
19 · Digital output to 2040
By domain
20 · By domain
Land: global data transmission
21 · Land: global data transmission
144 to 604 exabytes a month
22 · 144 to 604 exabytes a month
Cabling designed out
23 · Cabling designed out
Terahertz in data centres
24 · Terahertz in data centres
Science fiction is dead
25 · Science fiction is dead
Land: global energy transmission
26 · Land: global energy transmission
80 million km of power lines
27 · 80 million km of power lines
Where the power lines run
28 · Where the power lines run
Transmission lines to 2050
29 · Transmission lines to 2050
Wind flattens, solar is exponential
30 · Wind flattens, solar is exponential
AI energy use by workload
31 · AI energy use by workload
Wireless power transmission
32 · Wireless power transmission
Grid storage and superchargers
33 · Grid storage and superchargers
The building as a battery
34 · The building as a battery
Subsea: global data transmission
35 · Subsea: global data transmission
1.6 to 2 million km of cable
36 · 1.6 to 2 million km of cable
8 to 60 petabits
37 · 8 to 60 petabits
Who owns subsea capacity
38 · Who owns subsea capacity
Cable repair ships retiring
39 · Cable repair ships retiring
Subsea: global energy transmission
40 · Subsea: global energy transmission
75,000 to 190,000 km
41 · 75,000 to 190,000 km
500 GW to 2 TWh
42 · 500 GW to 2 TWh
Space: global data transmission
43 · Space: global data transmission
Low Earth orbit capacity
44 · Low Earth orbit capacity
Free-space optics
45 · Free-space optics
Orbital transmission and compute
46 · Orbital transmission and compute
Satellite to phone
47 · Satellite to phone
Space: global energy transmission
48 · Space: global energy transmission
Space-based power
49 · Space-based power
Stratosphere: global data transmission
50 · Stratosphere: global data transmission
One platform, 250 ground stations
51 · One platform, 250 ground stations
Stratosphere: global energy transmission
52 · Stratosphere: global energy transmission
Stratospheric energy grids
53 · Stratospheric energy grids
Explore the 311 Starburst Centre
54 · Explore the 311 Starburst Centre
Explore the other 99%
55 · Explore the other 99%
1 / 54
Matthew GriffinFounder, President and Futurist, 311 Institute
G7 · G20governments advised
850+keynotes
102countries
17codexes
Leadership sessions forMBP PartnersPwC Middle EastABP GroupRichmond EventsFirst Abu Dhabi BankUpgrade 100
Featured inBloombergThe Wall Street JournalThe Telegraph

IWCS brings together the companies that make, supply and install the world's wire, cable and connectivity, and for its 75th forum its CEO, David Kiddo, and the IWCS board asked Matthew to look far ahead at what all of that will have to carry. His keynote, The Future of Data and Energy Transmission, started from a single idea: only one thing is changing, everything, and it is getting faster. Mapped against the ten power paths that will shape 2050, from AI and compute and energy to critical minerals, talent, space and orbit, transmission sits underneath every one of them.

He then set out the problem in two words: not enough. On the figures he showed, there are not enough power stations, with 150 new plants needed. Not enough grid connections, with 2,060 GW of capacity stranded in 2026 and 16,000 km of new transmission lines needed by 2030. Not enough AI chips, with demand for 15 million GPUs and 600,000 racks by 2030. Not enough fibre, with 800,000 km of new routes and 344 million km of fibre strands needed. And not enough people to install it, with 130,000 cable installers and 170,000 other trades needed by 2030.

"Only one thing is changing: everything. And it is getting faster."Matthew Griffin, Orlando, November 2026

Behind all of it is accelerating acceleration. Using 311 Institute trendlines to 2040, Matthew showed the cost of intelligence falling, the rate of knowledge generation climbing, and the output of digital products growing far faster than physical ones, which is why the demand on every cable, line and link keeps compounding.

The disruptive technologies made the biggest impression on the room. Inside the data centre, cable-free GPU rack designs could design out 671,000 km of cabling, and terahertz links could carry 10 Tbps over 100 metres with latencies under 50 nanoseconds. Buildings could become batteries, with a single building storing 100 MWh. Light travels 50% faster through a vacuum than through solid core fibre, which is why free-space optics between satellites matters, and AI compute in orbit could one day cost $1 billion per gigawatt against $25 billion on the ground. Satellites are starting to talk straight to phones through metamaterial antennas and to backhaul cell towers, and in the stratosphere one high-altitude platform could replace up to 250 ground stations, with stratospheric energy grids possible in the 2040s. Even data teleportation, he argued, is no longer science fiction.

Around those technologies Matthew set the scale of the task, domain by domain. On land, monthly broadband and mobile traffic grows from an estimated 144 exabytes in 2026 to 604 exabytes by 2035, and the world's 80 million km of power lines need another 80 million km added or replaced by 2050. Under the sea, cable length grows from 1.6 million km to 2 million km by 2035, international bandwidth rises sevenfold, hyperscalers own more of it, and two thirds of the ships that repair it retire by 2040.

The 32 attendees who rated it straight after the session gave it 9.4 out of 10. Matthew closed by inviting the room to explore the other 99% in the 311 Starburst Centre and the 311 Institute's report, The Future of Data and Energy Transmission 2050, and he now takes the same session into boardrooms as a private briefing for leadership teams.

Bring this to your leadership teamA private briefing on the future of transmission, tailored to your organisation, in person or online.
Book a briefing
311 Intelligence

What this means for your leadership team

Transmission sits under everything.

Every one of the ten power paths to 2050 depends on moving data and energy. The keynote showed shortfalls in power stations, grid connections, chips, fibre and installers at the same time. A leadership team cannot treat these as separate supply problems.

Demand compounds faster than supply.

311 Institute trendlines to 2040 show the cost of intelligence falling and digital output growing far faster than physical output. That keeps loading every cable, line and link. With 2,060 GW of capacity stranded in 2026, flexible demand and the pressure of global energy demand become planning issues now.

Some answers are near, some are distant.

Cable-free racks could design out 671,000 km of cabling, and power over fibre is already at a readiness level of 8. Data teleportation is a watch item, with wide use not expected until 2062. Leaders should sort ideas by how soon they can act, and by what they could save in materials and labour.

Three questions for your next leadership meeting

  1. Which of our plans depend on grid connections we may not get?
  2. How many installers and trades will our plans need by 2030?
  3. Which long-range technologies should we watch rather than fund today?

The trends and technologies behind this session

From the 311 Starburst, the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit’s map of the technologies and trends shaping the next 50 years.

Questions and answers

What does this session mean for organisations?

It means transmission is a shared constraint, not a niche topic. The figures point to gaps in power, grid access, chips, fibre and skilled people by 2030. Organisations that plan around those gaps early will be better placed than those who assume supply will keep up.

How does global energy demand relate to the keynote?

World energy use keeps climbing, and 311 rates this trend as act now. It links directly to the keynote's call for 150 new plants and 16,000 km of new transmission lines by 2030. Demand is rising before the supply to meet it is in place.

How does power over fibre relate to the keynote?

Power over fibre sends laser light down a glass cable and turns it into electricity at the end. It matters because the keynote treated data and energy transmission as one problem. 311 rates it explore, with wide use expected around 2032.

How can 311 brief our leadership team on this?

Through a private executive briefing or leadership workshop, tailored to your sector, in person first.

Bring this to your leadership teamA private executive briefing or leadership workshop, tailored to your sector. In person first, anywhere in the world.
Book a Briefing

Analysis by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit, from Matthew Griffin’s session and 311 data.

The Future of Data and Energy Transmission 2050 report cover
The research behind this session

Every network, mapped to 2050.

The Future of Data and Energy Transmission 2050 maps power grids, fibre, subsea cables and satellites to 2050, with 139 predictions, from the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit.

Read The Future of Data and Energy Transmission 2050
Shortlisting speakers?

Make the case to your team.

Just exploring? and we’ll keep you posted, with no obligation.

Bring this session to your event

The Future of Data and Energy Transmission, tailored to your audience.

As a keynote, panel, executive briefing or leadership workshop. In person first, anywhere in the world.

Book direct with Matthew’s team: we reply within one working day.

Taking bookings for 2027
01Keynote sessionThe full session, tailored to your audience, for conferences, summits and leadership events.Book→
02PanelModerator or panellist, bringing the research into live debate.Book→
03Executive briefingA private session for a board or leadership team.Book→
04Leadership workshopTurning the ideas into a plan.Book→
"Secured the highest average rating on the day. One client rated the session 10 out of 5."John Rugg, AXA Investment Managers

More keynotes

All keynotes →
Book a Keynote