World’s first SSTO Aerospike aircraft to fly later this month
In the movies all space craft just fly into orbit, that's Single Stage to Orbit, and today no such aircraft exist. But soon they could.
Key takeaways
- True to word, Polaris has unveiled two new, yet-to-be-fully completed airframes in a recent LinkedIn post.
- The company intends to use Carbon Fiber Reinforced Polymer (CFRP) for its supersonic and hypersonic aircraft.
- The aerospace company is already making plans to test NOVA, a 26.2 ft (8 m) supersonic prototype it intends to develop into a commercial product, starting next year in 2025.
Cite or link to this article
Griffin, M. (2024) 'World’s first SSTO Aerospike aircraft to fly later this month', 311 Institute, 10 November. Available at: https://www.311institute.com/worlds-first-ssto-aerospike-aircraft-to-fly-later-this-month/ (Accessed: 1 October 2026).
If you’ve ever watched a sci-fi movie then you’ll notice that all the spaceships take off from the planet they’re on and head straight to orbit, unlike the multi-stage reusable rocket systems we see today like those from SpaceX and even the retired US NASA Shuttle program. This is only made possible by something called a Single Stage to Orbit (SSTO) system, and only a few companies are developing the technology to achieve our sci-fi fantasies.
While I’ve talked about SSTO Aerospike engines before, like the SABRE engine whose developers recently went into administration, they’ve generally been prototypes but a few months ago the first flight test for an aerospike rocket engine ended in disaster. But now Polaris Aerospace is back on track, preparing to fly two new prototypes for its MIRA Supersonic-Hypersonic aerospike spaceplane platform within weeks.
Immediately after the MIRA I crashed on take off Polaris Spaceplanes stated it would be going forward with the MIRA II and III. True to word, Polaris has unveiled two new, yet-to-be-fully completed airframes in a recent LinkedIn post.
The MIRA II and III are identical 16.4 ft (5 m) airframes with 30% more wing area than their predecessor, the MIRA I. Polaris opted to create two identical airframes in order to speed up flight testing as well as have a "reserve" aircraft if need be.
"In addition," writes the team, "the design has been greatly improved compared to MIRA with incorporating all the lessons learnt so far."
Both are fiberglass airframes, as they are demonstrators only. The company intends to use Carbon Fiber Reinforced Polymer (CFRP) for its supersonic and hypersonic aircraft.
While the MIRA I did make several successful test flights before crashing, it did so using its four conventional kerosene turbine engines. It was only once the AS-1 LOX (Liquid Oxygen)/Kerosene linear aerospike rocket engine was fitted that it was destroyed on take off at over 100 mph (160 kph), preventing it from becoming the first aircraft ever to fly under aerospike power.
See more details on the test, updated.
Most rockets only work efficiently in a certain altitude range, largely defined by the shape and size of their bell-shaped exhaust nozzles, which tune the pressure and flow of the expanding gases to produce maximum thrust. As the ambient air pressure and speed of the vehicle change, so does the ideal shape of that exhaust nozzle, and this is one reason why most space launch vehicles use multiple stages.
The aerospike engine is different, and in theory, it should be effective from sea level all the way up into space. Essentially, the aerospike design doesn't use a traditional nozzle, it fires its rocket exhausts down the sides of a central surface shaped to mimic one side of the interior wall of a bell-shaped nozzle, and the ambient airflow around the rocket acts as the remaining walls of the nozzle.
So the aerospike's virtual nozzle characteristics change constantly in response to aerodynamic flow. The rocket naturally tunes itself as speed and altitude changes. It'll never exceed the efficiency of a bell-shaped nozzle running right in its sweet spot, but its average efficiency from take off to orbit should be good enough to do the job, in a way that cuts down on moving parts, and hopes are high that all goes well with the 2nd generation aircraft.
Earlier test flights were held at the Peenemünde Airfield in northern Germany, and over the waters of the neighbouring Baltic Sea. It's unknown if that's where testing will begin again with the latest iterations of the MIRA, however, Polaris has announced that it expects to have them airborne within this month.
So, we should soon see the very first aerospike engine in flight since Rocketdyne invented them over 70 years ago. I'll definitely keep you posted when it happens. In the meanwhile, you can see the first prototype giving its aerospike engine a blast at 60% power for a few seconds in a runway roll test, in the video above.
The aerospace company is already making plans to test NOVA, a 26.2 ft (8 m) supersonic prototype it intends to develop into a commercial product, starting next year in 2025.
A video from Zweites Deutsches Fernsehen Today, in German only, offers a few glimpses of footage from behind the scenes, as well as what appears to be the moments before the MIRA I crash when it diverted off the runway moments before take off.
What this means for your organisation
One test will not settle the case.
In theory an aerospike engine works from sea level up into space, which could cut the need for multiple stages. But the first aerospike test ended in a crash, and our data puts wide use of the engine at 2055. Treat any result as one data point.
Rivals show how fragile this field is.
The SABRE developers went into administration, and single stage to orbit spaceplanes remain on the drawing board. Reusable rockets are on a faster track, with wide use expected by 2028. Staged, reusable launch is the benchmark any new design must beat.
Keep watching, and set clear triggers.
The aerospike sits at technology readiness level 6, with a first product expected around 2030. Polaris also plans to test its larger NOVA prototype from 2025. A clean powered flight, then repeat flights, would be the signs that justify moving from watching to exploring.
Three questions for your next leadership meeting
- What would a successful aerospike flight change in our launch or supply assumptions?
- Which single stage and reusable launch paths do we track today?
- What evidence would move this from watch to explore for us?
The trends and technologies behind this story
From the 311 Starburst, the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit’s map of the technologies and trends shaping the next 50 years.
Analysis by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit, from Matthew Griffin’s article and 311 data. First published on Fanatical Futurist.
FAQ
Why does this matter?
In the movies all space craft just fly into orbit, that's Single Stage to Orbit, and today no such aircraft exist. But soon they could.

About the author
Matthew Griffin Founder, President and Futurist, 311 Institute
Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath."
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Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath." 17-time best selling author of the "Codex of the Future" series, Matthew is the Founder, President and Futurist of the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures advisory firm working with royal households, world leaders, G7, G20, and G77 governments, NGOs, and multi-national mid and mega cap firms to help them explore, shape, and lead the next 50 years of business and society.
An award-winning YouTube creator with over a million followers, with an unrivalled global reach and impact, Matthew is a highly sought-after international keynote speaker, lecturer, and mentor who collaborates with global leaders through the United Nations Alliance of Civilizations (UNAOC) and United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) to shape pivotal initiatives such as the UN’s AI for Humanity programme, the United Nations Conference of the Parties (UN COP), and the World Economic Forum in Davos.
As the former Global Head of Cloud, National Security, and Enterprise Sales for companies including Atos, Dell-EMC, and IBM, Matthew has a proven track record of building multi-billion dollar business units and turning failing divisions into market leaders. His ability to identify, analyse, and communicate the implications of hundreds of emerging technologies and trends is unparalleled, and his insights are trusted by many of the world’s most respected organisations, including ABB, Accenture, Adidas, AON, ARM, BCG, Centrica, Citi, Coca-Cola, Dentons, Deloitte, Dow Jones, EY, Google, KPMG, Lego, Legal & General, LinkedIn, Microsoft, PepsiCo, Qualcomm, RWE, Samsung, Siemens AG and Siemens Energy, T-Mobile, UBS, VISA, Walmart, Workday, Worldpay and many others.
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Sources and further reading
- Zweites Deutsches Fernsehen Today zdf.de
Source: first published by the 311 Institute on 10 November 2024. Cite as: Griffin, M. (2024). World’s first SSTO Aerospike aircraft to fly later this month. 311 Institute. https://www.311institute.com/worlds-first-ssto-aerospike-aircraft-to-fly-later-this-month/
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