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Google has created a test to measure AI’s ability to reason

As advanced as today's AI's are they still can't reason, and that's what's going to hold them, and us, back from realising the milestone that is Artificial General Intelligence.

Key takeaways

  • One popular test in particular, called Raven’s Progressive Matrices, features several rows of images with the final row missing its final image.
  • The test doesn’t outright tell the test taker what to look for in the images, sometimes the progression has to do with the number of objects within each image, their colour, or their placement.
  • To apply this test to its AI’s the DeepMind team created a program that could generate unique matrix problems, and then they trained various different AI’s to solve them.
Cite or link to this article

Griffin, M. (2018) 'Google has created a test to measure AI’s ability to reason', 311 Institute, 28 July. Available at: https://www.311institute.com/google-has-created-a-test-to-measure-ais-ability-to-reason/ (Accessed: 1 October 2026).

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has become pretty good at completing specific tasks over the past couple of years, whether it’s creating fake celebrities, finding and patching cyber vulnerabilities, or predicting when people will die, and all sorts of other things besides. That said though we’re still a long way off from realising Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), an AI with the kind of all around smarts that would let it navigate and “understand” the world the same way we do, and that’s despite a new General Intelligence breakthrough and the publication of a new AGI architecture by Google DeepMind last year.

One of the key elements of AGI is abstract reasoning, the ability to think beyond the here and now to see more nuanced patterns and relationships and to engage in complex thought, and last week researchers at DeepMind, who also recently created what amounts to a psychology test for their AI’s, published a research paper that detailed their attempt to measure their AI’s “abstract reasoning capabilities,” by creating tests that aren’t that dissimilar from the ones we use to measure our own reasoning capabilities.

In humans we measure abstract reasoning using fairly straightforward visual IQ tests. One popular test in particular, called Raven’s Progressive Matrices, features several rows of images with the final row missing its final image. It’s up to the test taker to choose the image that should come next based on the pattern of the completed rows.

The test doesn’t outright tell the test taker what to look for in the images, sometimes the progression has to do with the number of objects within each image, their colour, or their placement. It’s then up to the user to figure out what’s missing for themselves using their ability to reason abstractly.

To apply this test to its AI’s the DeepMind team created a program that could generate unique matrix problems, and then they trained various different AI’s to solve them. Finally, they tested the systems.

In some cases they used test problems with the same abstract factors as the training set, like both training and testing the AI on problems that required it to consider the number of shapes in each image. While in other cases they used test problems that used different abstract factors than those in the original training set. For example, they might train the AI on problems that required it to consider the number of shapes in each image, but then test it on ones that required it to consider the shapes’ positions to figure out the right answer.

The results of the tests weren’t great though. When the training problems and test problems focused on the same abstract factors the systems fared just “alright” correctly answering the problems 75 percent of the time. However, the teams AI’s performed very poorly if the test set and the training sets were different, even when the differences were minor, for example, training on matrices that featured dark coloured objects and then testing the AI’s using matrices that featured light coloured objects.

Ultimately, the team’s AI “IQ test” shows that even some of today’s most advanced AI’s can’t figure out problems we haven’t trained them to solve, and that means we’re probably still a long way from AGI. But now though at least we have a straightforward way to monitor their progress and their ability to reason, and one day it’s likely they’ll ace them, and this new test will sit nicely alongside some other AI tests from other companies that will test how smart and dangerous AI algorithms are, as well as what their IQ’s might be…

Source: DeepMind

311 Intelligence

What this means for your organisation

AI fails outside its training.

The systems did fairly well when tests matched their training and badly when they did not. Real business conditions change all the time. Any AI deployed in shifting conditions needs close monitoring.

General intelligence is still distant.

Abstract reasoning is a core part of AGI, and current systems lack it. Claims that AI can replace broad human judgement should be treated with care. Plan around narrow strengths, not general ones.

Better tests mean better buying.

Measuring reasoning the way we test people gives buyers a clearer view of what a system can do. Firms should ask vendors how their tools perform on unfamiliar cases. Testing on your own edge cases is essential.

Three questions for your next leadership meeting

  1. Which of our AI uses depend on conditions staying the same?
  2. How do we test AI tools on cases they have never seen?
  3. Where must human judgement stay in charge of novel decisions?

The trends and technologies behind this story

From the 311 Starburst, the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit’s map of the technologies and trends shaping the next 50 years.

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Analysis by the 311 Strategic Intelligence Unit, from Matthew Griffin’s article and 311 data. First published on Fanatical Futurist.

FAQ

Why does this matter?

As advanced as today's AI's are they still can't reason, and that's what's going to hold them, and us, back from realising the milestone that is Artificial General Intelligence.

Matthew Griffin

About the author

Matthew Griffin Founder, President and Futurist, 311 Institute

Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath."

Read full bio

Matthew Griffin is a multi-award winning Futurist and expert in Disruption and Innovation, Geopolitics, Leadership, and Technology, who NASA have described as a "walking encyclopaedia of the future" and a "futurist Polymath." 17-time best selling author of the "Codex of the Future" series, Matthew is the Founder, President and Futurist of the 311 Institute, a global Futures and Deep Futures advisory firm working with royal households, world leaders, G7, G20, and G77 governments, NGOs, and multi-national mid and mega cap firms to help them explore, shape, and lead the next 50 years of business and society.

An award-winning YouTube creator with over a million followers, with an unrivalled global reach and impact, Matthew is a highly sought-after international keynote speaker, lecturer, and mentor who collaborates with global leaders through the United Nations Alliance of Civilizations (UNAOC) and United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) to shape pivotal initiatives such as the UN’s AI for Humanity program, the United Nations Conference of the Parties (UN COP), and the World Economic Forum in Davos.

As the former Global Head of Cloud, National Security, and Enterprise Sales for companies including Atos, Dell-EMC, and IBM, Matthew has a proven track record of building multi-billion dollar business units and turning failing divisions into market leaders. His ability to identify, analyse, and communicate the implications of hundreds of emerging technologies and trends is unparalleled, and his insights are trusted by many of the world’s most respected organisations, including ABB, Accenture, Adidas, AON, ARM, BCG, Centrica, Citi, Coca-Cola, Dentons, Deloitte, Dow Jones, EY, Google, KPMG, Lego, Legal & General, LinkedIn, Microsoft, PepsiCo, Qualcomm, RWE, Samsung, Siemens AG and Siemens Energy, T-Mobile, UBS, VISA, Walmart, Workday, Worldpay and many others.

Regularly featured in the global media including the AP, BBC, Bloomberg, CNBC, Discovery, Forbes, Khaleej Times, Telegraph, TIME, ViacomCBS, WIRED, and the WSJ, Matthews mission is to help organisations create a fair and sustainable future whose benefits are shared by everyone irrespective of their ability, background, or circumstances.

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Sources and further reading

  1. Santoro18a.pdf proceedings.mlr.press
  2. Raven’s Progressive Matrices en.wikipedia.org
  3. Measuring abstract reasoning deepmind.com

Source: first published by the 311 Institute on 28 July 2018. Cite as: Griffin, M. (2018). Google has created a test to measure AI’s ability to reason. 311 Institute. https://www.311institute.com/google-has-created-a-test-to-measure-ais-ability-to-reason/

You are welcome to quote this article with credit and a link to the original.

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